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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 29
Chicago Fire
1 - 3Full time
Philadelphia Union
Soldier Field · Referee: Ricardo Fierro

Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.53
76%
Confidence · Good
Chicago FireDrawPhiladelphia Union
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
Yes
69%
Correct score
1-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
22%
Double chance
X2
76%
Avg goals
3.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Philadelphia Union and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Chicago Fire LLWWW, Philadelphia Union WWWWW (oldest to newest).
  • Chicago Fire score 1.8 a game this season; Philadelphia Union score 2.0.

Match preview

Chicago Fire host Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 29) on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at Soldier Field.

This season Chicago Fire score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals a game; Philadelphia Union score 2.0 and concede 1.6.

In their last 5 meetings, Chicago Fire won 1, Philadelphia Union won 3 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 76% confidence, priced at 1.53.

Quick answers

Who will win Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?

Our model gives Chicago Fire 24%, the draw 34% and Philadelphia Union 42%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (76% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 69% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 67% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Chicago Fire 1 - 1 Philadelphia Union. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 76% confidence at odds of 1.53.

When is Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?

Kick-off is Thursday, 15 October 2026, 00:30 UTC at Soldier Field. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Mbekezeli Mbokazi34'
  2. Jack Elliott41'
  3. Maren Haile-SelassieAssist: Noah Allen44'
  4. Jonathan Bamba ⇄ Andreas Hanche-Olsen45'
  5. Jack Elliott45+1'
  6. 49'Milan IloskiAssist: Bruno Damiani
  7. 55'Bruno DamianiAssist: Cavan Sullivan
  8. 57'Jesus Bueno ⇄ Indiana Vassilev
  9. 67'Bruno DamianiAssist: Jovan Lukic
  10. Robert Lewandowski ⇄ Philip Zinckernagel68'
  11. Johan Arath Gomez ⇄ Puso Dithejane68'
  12. Jonathan Dean ⇄ Leonardo Barroso68'
  13. Anton Saletros ⇄ Sergio Oregel72'
  14. 80'Bruno Damiani ⇄ Ezekiel Kwame Alladoh
  15. 80'Cavan Sullivan ⇄ Benjamin Bender
  16. 85'Indiana Vassilev
  17. Philip Zinckernagel88'
  18. 90+2'Quinn Sullivan ⇄ Japhet Sery Larsen
  19. 90+2'Milan Iloski ⇄ Malik Jakupovic
  20. 90+3'Neil Pierre

Match stats

Chicago FirePhiladelphia Union
Possession
49%51%
Expected goals (xG)
0.872.24
Shots
819
Shots on target
48
Corners
27
Fouls
1216
Offsides
31
Yellow cards
32
Red cards
10
Saves
43
Passes
405411