Cerro vs Cerro Largo Prediction, Odds & Tips
Home or Draw (1X)Odds1.33
CerroDrawCerro Largo
43%38%19%
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Combo Double chance : Cerro or draw and -3.5 goals.
- Recent form: Cerro WLDLW, Cerro Largo DLLLL (oldest to newest).
- Cerro score 0.8 a game this season; Cerro Largo score 0.9.
Match preview
Cerro host Cerro Largo in the Primera División (Clausura - 11) on Friday, 16 October 2026 at Monumental Luis Tróccoli.
This season Cerro score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals a game; Cerro Largo score 0.9 and concede 1.2.
In their last 5 meetings, Cerro won 1, Cerro Largo won 2 and 2 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 81% confidence, priced at 1.33.
Quick answers
Who will win Cerro vs Cerro Largo?
Our model gives Cerro 43%, the draw 38% and Cerro Largo 19%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (81% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 56% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 61% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Cerro 1 - 0 Cerro Largo. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 81% confidence at odds of 1.33.
When is Cerro vs Cerro Largo?
Kick-off is Friday, 16 October 2026, 22:00 UTC at Monumental Luis Tróccoli. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- rodrigo mederos13'
- ●Juan Cruz Guasone28'
- ⇄Emiliano Rodriguez ⇄ bruno morales36'
- Nahuel Arena43'
- ⇄rodrigo mederos ⇄ Francisco Bregante Torres46'
- ⇄Cristian Barros ⇄ Ezequiel Forclaz61'
- 64'Gustavo Viera ⇄ andres cordoba⇄
- 64'joaquin bruno alvarez hernandez ⇄ axel pandiani⇄
- Juan Cruz Guasone71'
- 71'Brian Lozano
- Leonardo Pais73'
- ⇄Leonardo Pais ⇄ Jorge Alejandro Severo Cordero83'
- 83'Alexander Nahuel·Hernandez Dominguez ⇄ Diego Daguerre⇄
- 83'Brian Lozano ⇄ Borys Barone⇄
- Ezequiel Forclaz84'
- 86'alexis piegas
- 90+10'andres cordoba●
Match stats
CerroCerro Largo
Key stats
Per game, this seasonCerroCerro Largo
Model comparison
PercentCerroCerro Largo
Goals scored, last 5
7.01.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.07.0
Goal forecast: Cerro Under 2.5, Cerro Largo Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Cerro · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Cerro Largo · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Head to head
Last 10May 2026Cerro Largo2-0Cerro
Apr 2026Cerro Largo1-1Cerro
Sept 2025Cerro0-1Cerro Largo
Jun 2025Cerro2-1Cerro Largo
Mar 2025Cerro Largo0-0Cerro
Sept 2024Cerro Largo3-1Cerro
Jul 2024Cerro0-1Cerro Largo
Mar 2024Cerro1-1Cerro Largo
Nov 2023Cerro Largo0-0Cerro
Jul 2023Cerro Largo0-1Cerro
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X15.00
1/234.00
X/26.50
X/X4.33
1/14.00
X/15.50
2/129.00
2/X15.00
2/25.00
Correct score
1-06.00
1-16.00
0-07.00
0-18.00
2-09.50
2-110.00
1-213.00
0-215.00
2-219.00
3-021.00
3-121.00
3-234.00
1-329.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedCerro 4-2-3-1
12Y. Irrazábal
35P. Nongoy
16J. Guasone
21N. Arena
17Gianni Rodríguez
5A. Macelli
8A. Miranda
32R. Mederos
27C. Barros
70L. Pais
14E. Rodriguez
Cerro Largo 4-3-3
12P. González
17A. Hernández
3A. Piegas
19A. Prado
20S. Franca
15A. Assis
5S. Marcel
30joaquin bruno alvarez hernandez
7G. Viera
26E. de León
29B. Lozano