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La Liga · Regular Season - 9
Celta Vigo
2 - 1Full time
Alaves
Municipal de Balaídos · Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero

Celta Vigo vs Alaves Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.33
81%
Confidence · High
Celta VigoDrawAlaves
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS
No
55%
Correct score
1-0
12%
HT/FT
1/1
22%
Double chance
1X
81%
Avg goals
2.1
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Celta Vigo or draw.
  • Recent form: Celta Vigo DDDWD, Alaves WLLDL (oldest to newest).
  • Celta Vigo score 1.0 a game this season; Alaves score 1.5.

Match preview

Celta Vigo host Alaves in the La Liga (Regular Season - 9) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Municipal de Balaídos.

In their last 5 meetings, Celta Vigo won 2, Alaves won 2 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 81% confidence, priced at 1.33.

Quick answers

Who will win Celta Vigo vs Alaves?

Our model gives Celta Vigo 44%, the draw 37% and Alaves 19%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (81% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 62% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Celta Vigo 1 - 0 Alaves. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 81% confidence at odds of 1.33.

When is Celta Vigo vs Alaves?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 14:15 UTC at Municipal de Balaídos. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Sebastián Cáceres15'
  2. 45'Toni Martínez
  3. Ilaix Moriba ⇄ Aleix Febas45'
  4. Williot Swedberg ⇄ Javier Rueda García45'
  5. Ferran JutglàAssist: Javier Rodríguez Galiano53'
  6. 62'Jonny Otto ⇄ Hugo Novoa Ramos
  7. 62'Toni Martínez ⇄ Mariano Díaz
  8. 62'Carles Aleñá ⇄ Denis Suárez
  9. Couhaib Driouech ⇄ Iago Aspas70'
  10. Hugo Burcio ⇄ Andrés Antañón Vieites70'
  11. Javier Rodríguez GalianoAssist: Iago Aspas71'
  12. Sebastián Cáceres ⇄ Marcos Alonso77'
  13. 87'Hugo Novoa RamosAssist: Mariano Díaz
  14. 88'Abderrahmane Rebbach ⇄ Aitor Mañas
  15. 88'Antonio Blanco ⇄ Ander Guevara

Match stats

Celta VigoAlaves
Possession
48%52%
Expected goals (xG)
0.911.05
Shots
620
Shots on target
39
Corners
04
Fouls
1417
Offsides
03
Yellow cards
11
Red cards
00
Saves
81
Passes
465490