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Serie A · Regular Season - 7
AS Roma
2 - 0Full time
Genoa
Stadio Olimpico · Referee: Rosario Abisso

AS Roma vs Genoa Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds1.57
55%
Confidence · Fair
AS RomaDrawGenoa
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
No
52%
Correct score
1-0
10%
HT/FT
1/1
34%
Double chance
1X
92%
Avg goals
2.7
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : AS Roma.
  • Recent form: AS Roma WWWDD, Genoa LLDLW (oldest to newest).
  • AS Roma score 2.3 a game this season; Genoa score 0.8.

Match preview

AS Roma host Genoa in the Serie A (Regular Season - 7) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Stadio Olimpico.

This season AS Roma score 2.3 and concede 0.4 goals a game; Genoa score 0.7 and concede 1.9.

In their last 5 meetings, AS Roma won 3, Genoa won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 55% confidence, priced at 1.57.

Quick answers

Who will win AS Roma vs Genoa?

Our model gives AS Roma 55%, the draw 37% and Genoa 8%. Our tip is Home Win (55% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 52% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 50% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is AS Roma 1 - 0 Genoa. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 92% confidence at odds of 1.12.

When is AS Roma vs Genoa?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Stadio Olimpico. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Matias Soule43'
  2. Santiago Thomas Castro50'
  3. 51'Johan Vásquez
  4. Rodrigo Mora ⇄ Lorenzo Pellegrini63'
  5. Konstantinos Koulierakis ⇄ Mario Hermoso63'
  6. 65'Stephan El Shaarawy ⇄ Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira
  7. 65'Leo Østigård
  8. Emanuele Lulli68'
  9. Niccolò Pisilli76'
  10. Emanuele Lulli ⇄ Wesley Vinícius França Lima78'
  11. 81'Mikael Ellertsson
  12. 83'Junior Messias ⇄ Robinho Junior
  13. 83'Morten Frendrup ⇄ Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho
  14. Devyne Rensch ⇄ Daniele Ghilardi88'
  15. Niccolò Pisilli ⇄ Alessandro Di Nunzio88'

Match stats

AS RomaGenoa
Possession
66%34%
Expected goals (xG)
1.450.49
Shots
159
Shots on target
51
Corners
53
Fouls
107
Offsides
32
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
00
Saves
13
Passes
622323