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Serie A · Regular Season - 9
AS Roma
Cagliari
Stadio Olimpico

AS Roma vs Cagliari Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.07
90%
Confidence · High
AS RomaDrawCagliari
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
No
53%
Correct score
2-0
11%
HT/FT
1/1
43%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : AS Roma or draw.
  • Recent form: AS Roma WWDDW, Cagliari WWWDL (oldest to newest).
  • AS Roma score 2.3 a game this season; Cagliari score 0.9.

Match preview

AS Roma host Cagliari in the Serie A (Regular Season - 9) on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at Stadio Olimpico.

AS Roma come into the game with a form of DWWL (newest first; 2 wins in their last 4).

This season AS Roma score 2.3 and concede 0.4 goals a game; Cagliari score 0.9 and concede 1.0.

In their last 5 meetings, AS Roma won 3, Cagliari won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence, priced at 1.07.

Quick answers

Who will win AS Roma vs Cagliari?

Our model gives AS Roma 57%, the draw 32% and Cagliari 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 53% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is AS Roma 2 - 0 Cagliari. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence at odds of 1.07.

When is AS Roma vs Cagliari?

Kick-off is Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 19:45 UTC at Stadio Olimpico. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
AS RomaCagliari
Goals scored
2.30.9
Goals conceded
0.41.0
Clean sheets
71%43%

Model comparison

Percent
AS RomaCagliari
Form
52%48%
Attack
62%38%
Defence
67%33%
Poisson model
79%21%
Head to head
71%29%
Goals
88%13%
Overall
70%30%
Form, last 5 games
73%67%
Goals scored, last 5
8.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
3.06.0
Goal forecast: AS Roma Under 2.5, Cagliari Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw