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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9
Alverca
0 - 1Full time
Arouca
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca · Referee: Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho

Alverca vs Arouca Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.28
82%
Confidence · High
AlvercaDrawArouca
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
Yes
55%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
1/1
26%
Double chance
1X
82%
Avg goals
2.7
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Alverca or draw.
  • Recent form: Alverca DLWWW, Arouca WDLDW (oldest to newest).
  • Alverca score 1.6 a game this season; Arouca score 1.4.

Match preview

Alverca host Arouca in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 9) on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca.

This season Alverca score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals a game; Arouca score 1.4 and concede 0.9.

In their last 2 meetings, Alverca won 1, Arouca won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 82% confidence, priced at 1.28.

Quick answers

Who will win Alverca vs Arouca?

Our model gives Alverca 46%, the draw 36% and Arouca 18%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (82% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 51% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Alverca 1 - 1 Arouca. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 82% confidence at odds of 1.28.

When is Alverca vs Arouca?

Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 17:00 UTC at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Steven Baseya6'
  2. Francisco Chissumba ⇄ Yaya Bojang9'
  3. 19'Jose Fontán
  4. 24'Taichi FukuiAssist: Javi Sánchez
  5. Rayan Lucas ⇄ Ian Luccas45'
  6. 54'Pedro Santos
  7. 61'Pedro Santos ⇄ Mateo Flores
  8. Dawda Camara Sankharé ⇄ Matheus Franca62'
  9. 67'Jose Fontán ⇄ Boris Popovic
  10. 67'Iván Barbero ⇄ Dylan Nandín
  11. Lucas Figueiredo dos Santos71'
  12. Lucas Figueiredo dos Santos ⇄ Nabil Touaizi75'
  13. Davy Gui ⇄ Zé Rafael75'
  14. 79'Taichi Fukui ⇄ Lee Hyun-ju
  15. 79'Alfonso Trezza ⇄ Brian Mansilla
  16. André Vidigal90+4'

Match stats

AlvercaArouca
Possession
29%71%
Expected goals (xG)
0.432.06
Shots
1017
Shots on target
14
Corners
33
Fouls
914
Offsides
10
Yellow cards
12
Red cards
20
Saves
31
Passes
279712

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