Almeria vs Oviedo Prediction, Odds & Tips
Home or Draw (1X)Odds1.17
AlmeriaDrawOviedo
51%35%14%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : Almeria or draw.
- Recent form: Almeria WWWWW, Oviedo LWLWW (oldest to newest).
- Almeria score 2.0 a game this season; Oviedo score 1.3.
Match preview
Almeria host Oviedo in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 11) on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at UD Almería Stadium.
In their last 5 meetings, Almeria won 0, Oviedo won 3 and 2 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 86% confidence, priced at 1.17.
Quick answers
Who will win Almeria vs Oviedo?
Our model gives Almeria 51%, the draw 35% and Oviedo 14%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (86% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 51% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 51% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Almeria 1 - 1 Oviedo. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 86% confidence at odds of 1.17.
When is Almeria vs Oviedo?
Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at UD Almería Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- ●Sergio Arribas CalvoAssist: Quim junyent16'
- ●Miguel De La FuenteAssist: Álex Muñoz27'
- 45'Aritz Aldasoro ⇄ Pablo Saenz⇄
- 45'Alberto Reina ⇄ Víctor García Mingo⇄
- 45+1'David Costas
- 53'Pablo Saenz
- Marcos Luna54'
- 59'José Luis Morales ⇄ Estanis Pedrola⇄
- ⇄Quim junyent ⇄ Adrián Embarba64'
- ⇄Brian Cipenga ⇄ Leonardo Lelo64'
- 69'Mikel Goti Lopez ⇄ Daniel Villahermosa⇄
- 75'Nacho Vidal
- ⇄Miguel De La Fuente ⇄ Léo Baptistão78'
- Adrián Embarba82'
- 86'Víctor García Mingo
- 86'David Costas ⇄ Jacobo González⇄
- 87'Jacobo González●
- 90'Jorge PulidoOwn goal●
- 90+2'Daniel Villahermosa
Match stats
AlmeriaOviedo
Expected goals (xG)
0.701.35
Key stats
Per game, this seasonAlmeriaOviedo
Model comparison
PercentAlmeriaOviedo
Form, last 5 games
100%60%
Goals scored, last 5
12.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
3.09.0
Goal forecast: Almeria Under 3.5, Oviedo Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Almeria · last 1
1W 0D 0L17 OctAReal Sociedad II2-4W
Oviedo · last 2
2W 0D 0L18 OctAAD Ceuta FC1-2W
12 OctHEibar3-1W
Head to head
Last 10Jun 2025Oviedo1-1Almeria
Jun 2025Almeria1-2Oviedo
Feb 2025Almeria1-1Oviedo
Oct 2024Oviedo3-2Almeria
Jan 2022Oviedo2-0Almeria
Aug 2021Almeria2-1Oviedo
May 2021Almeria2-2Oviedo
Nov 2020Oviedo1-2Almeria
Jan 2020Almeria2-0Oviedo
Nov 2019Oviedo0-0Almeria
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X15.00
1/234.00
X/210.00
X/X6.00
1/12.60
X/14.50
2/121.00
2/X15.00
2/28.50
Correct score
1-17.00
1-07.50
2-08.00
2-18.50
0-011.00
3-013.00
3-113.00
2-215.00
0-115.00
1-217.00
3-223.00
4-123.00
4-023.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedAlmeria 4-2-3-1
1Andrés Fernández
2Marcos Luna
5Jorge Pulido
18F. Bonini
3Álex Muñoz
29S. Džodić
14Javi Muñoz
33Quim Junyent
11Sergio Arribas
17B. Cipenga
24Miguel de la Fuente
Oviedo 4-2-3-1
13Aarón Escandell
22Nacho Vidal
4David Costas
12Dani Calvo
15S. Rodriguez
16Aritz Aldasoro
5Y. Didi
10Alberto Reina
8Mikel Goti
32Enzo Perez
25José Luis Morales
