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Primera División · Clausura - 12
Alianza Lima
3 - 1Full time
Atletico Grau
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva · Referee: Michael Espinoza

Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.06
90%
Confidence · High
Alianza LimaDrawAtletico Grau
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
No
54%
Correct score
2-0
11%
HT/FT
1/1
43%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.1
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Alianza Lima or draw.
  • Recent form: Alianza Lima LDLWW, Atletico Grau WLWLD (oldest to newest).
  • Alianza Lima score 1.6 a game this season; Atletico Grau score 0.9.

Match preview

Alianza Lima host Atletico Grau in the Primera División (Clausura - 12) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.

This season Alianza Lima score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals a game; Atletico Grau score 0.9 and concede 1.2.

In their last 5 meetings, Alianza Lima won 3, Atletico Grau won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence, priced at 1.06.

Quick answers

Who will win Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau?

Our model gives Alianza Lima 58%, the draw 32% and Atletico Grau 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 54% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Alianza Lima 2 - 0 Atletico Grau. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence at odds of 1.06.

When is Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 01:30 UTC at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Kevin QuevedoAssist: Federico Girotti11'
  2. Esteban Pavez33'
  3. 44'Aldair VásquezAssist: Gabriel Alfaro
  4. Kevin Quevedo ⇄ Gaspar Gentile45'
  5. Esteban Pavez ⇄ Jesús Castillo45'
  6. Kevin Quevedo45+2'
  7. Erick Castillo50'
  8. Mateo Antoni Pavon ⇄ Gianfranco Chavez54'
  9. 61'Aldair Vásquez ⇄ Pablo Lavandeira
  10. 61'Diego Barreto ⇄ Nicolás Delgadillo
  11. 65'Adrián Fernández
  12. 77'Adrián Fernández ⇄ Luis Benites
  13. 78'Rodrigo Tapia ⇄ Yamir Ruidiaz Misitich
  14. Jairo Vélez81'
  15. Jairo Vélez83'
  16. Erick Castillo ⇄ Piero Cari85'
  17. Jesús Castillo87'
  18. 89'Gabriel Alfaro ⇄ Elsar Rodas
  19. Federico Girotti ⇄ Luis Ramos90+2'

Match stats

Alianza LimaAtletico Grau
Possession
60%40%
Expected goals (xG)
1.640.57
Shots
188
Shots on target
64
Corners
61
Fouls
158
Offsides
35
Yellow cards
41
Red cards
00
Saves
33
Passes
482309

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