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Serie A · Regular Season - 9
AC Milan
Bologna

AC Milan vs Bologna Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.14
86%
Confidence · High
AC MilanDrawBologna
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes
52%
Correct score
1-0
10%
HT/FT
1/1
34%
Double chance
1X
86%
Avg goals
2.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : AC Milan or draw.
  • Recent form: AC Milan DDWDW, Bologna DLDWL (oldest to newest).
  • AC Milan score 2.0 a game this season; Bologna score 0.9.

Match preview

AC Milan host Bologna in the Serie A (Regular Season - 9) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.

AC Milan come into the game with a form of LWW (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3).

This season AC Milan score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Bologna score 0.9 and concede 1.4.

In their last 5 meetings, AC Milan won 3, Bologna won 2 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 86% confidence, priced at 1.14.

Quick answers

Who will win AC Milan vs Bologna?

Our model gives AC Milan 52%, the draw 35% and Bologna 14%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (86% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 52% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is AC Milan 1 - 0 Bologna. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 86% confidence at odds of 1.14.

When is AC Milan vs Bologna?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 17:30 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
AC MilanBologna
Goals scored
2.00.9
Goals conceded
1.01.4
Clean sheets
29%0%

Model comparison

Percent
AC MilanBologna
Form
64%36%
Attack
63%38%
Defence
57%43%
Poisson model
84%16%
Head to head
60%40%
Goals
67%33%
Overall
66%34%
Form, last 5 games
60%33%
Goals scored, last 5
10.06.0
Goals conceded, last 5
6.08.0
Goal forecast: AC Milan Under 2.5, Bologna Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw