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Serie A · Regular Season - 7
AC Milan
3 - 2Full time
Atalanta
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Referee: Daniele Chiffi

AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.18
84%
Confidence · High
AC MilanDrawAtalanta
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
Yes
58%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
32%
Double chance
1X
84%
Avg goals
2.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : AC Milan or draw.
  • Recent form: AC Milan WDDWD, Atalanta WLLLW (oldest to newest).
  • AC Milan score 1.8 a game this season; Atalanta score 1.3.

Match preview

AC Milan host Atalanta in the Serie A (Regular Season - 7) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza.

This season AC Milan score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Atalanta score 1.4 and concede 1.6.

In their last 5 meetings, AC Milan won 0, Atalanta won 3 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 84% confidence, priced at 1.18.

Quick answers

Who will win AC Milan vs Atalanta?

Our model gives AC Milan 50%, the draw 34% and Atalanta 16%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (84% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 59% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is AC Milan 1 - 1 Atalanta. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 84% confidence at odds of 1.18.

When is AC Milan vs Atalanta?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 16:00 UTC at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Christian PulisicGoal cancelled13'
  2. 20'Sead Kolašinac ⇄ Relja Obric
  3. Yunus MusahPenalty confirmed22'
  4. Gonçalo RamosPenalty24'
  5. Adrien Rabiot41'
  6. Adrien RabiotAssist: Diego Moreira43'
  7. Samuel Chukwueze ⇄ Omari Hutchinson53'
  8. Adrien RabiotPenalty confirmed55'
  9. Gonçalo Ramos57'
  10. Mario GilaAssist: Adrien Rabiot57'
  11. 59'Mario Pašalić ⇄ Gianluca Gaetano
  12. 59'Jonathan Rowe ⇄ Nicola Zalewski
  13. 66'Gianluca GaetanoAssist: Nicola Zalewski
  14. 68'Éderson José dos Santos
  15. 75'Lazar Samardzic ⇄ Gianluca Scamacca
  16. 75'Lorenzo Bernasconi ⇄ Davide Zappacosta
  17. Christian Pulisic ⇄ Ardon Jashari75'
  18. Yunus Musah ⇄ Pervis Estupinan75'
  19. Luka Modrić ⇄ Ruben Loftus-Cheek75'
  20. 78'Relja Obric
  21. 81'Nikola KrstovićAssist: Raoul Bellanova
  22. Mario Gila ⇄ Fikayo Tomori84'

Match stats

AC MilanAtalanta
Possession
56%44%
Expected goals (xG)
2.491.71
Shots
1112
Shots on target
64
Corners
22
Fouls
310
Offsides
11
Yellow cards
12
Red cards
00
Saves
23
Passes
601464