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Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Group 4 - 8
Xerez
Marbella

Xerez vs Marbella Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.17
84%
Confidence · High
XerezDrawMarbella
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No
64%
Correct score
1-0
14%
HT/FT
1/1
29%
Double chance
1X
84%
Avg goals
1.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Xerez or draw and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Xerez DLWDL, Marbella WDLLD (oldest to newest).
  • Xerez score 0.6 a game this season; Marbella score 0.9.

Match preview

Xerez host Marbella in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (Group 4 - 8) on Sunday, 25 October 2026.

This season Xerez score 0.6 and concede 0.9 goals a game; Marbella score 0.9 and concede 1.3.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 84% confidence, priced at 1.17.

Quick answers

Who will win Xerez vs Marbella?

Our model gives Xerez 48%, the draw 37% and Marbella 16%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (84% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 64% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 58% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Xerez 1 - 0 Marbella. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 84% confidence at odds of 1.17.

When is Xerez vs Marbella?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 18:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
XerezMarbella
Goals scored
0.60.9
Goals conceded
0.91.3
Clean sheets
29%29%

Model comparison

Percent
XerezMarbella
Form
50%50%
Attack
43%57%
Defence
50%50%
Poisson model
100%0%
Head to head
50%50%
Overall
48%52%
Form, last 5 games
33%33%
Goals scored, last 5
3.04.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.04.0
Goal forecast: Xerez Under 1.5, Marbella Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw