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Liga Nacional · Regular Season - 14
Xelajú
2 - 1Full time
Malacateco
Estadio Mario Camposeco

Xelajú vs Malacateco Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds1.44
54%
Confidence · Fair
XelajúDrawMalacateco
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes
56%
Correct score
2-0
13%
HT/FT
1/1
43%
Double chance
1X
88%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Xelajú.
  • Recent form: Xelajú DWLWL, Malacateco DWLLW (oldest to newest).
  • Xelajú score 1.9 a game this season; Malacateco score 1.1.

Match preview

Xelajú host Malacateco in the Liga Nacional (Regular Season - 14) on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at Estadio Mario Camposeco.

This season Xelajú score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Malacateco score 1.1 and concede 1.4.

In their last 5 meetings, Xelajú won 3, Malacateco won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 54% confidence, priced at 1.44.

Quick answers

Who will win Xelajú vs Malacateco?

Our model gives Xelajú 54%, the draw 34% and Malacateco 13%. Our tip is Home Win (54% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Xelajú 2 - 0 Malacateco. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 88% confidence at odds of 1.08.

When is Xelajú vs Malacateco?

Kick-off is Thursday, 15 October 2026, 18:00 UTC at Estadio Mario Camposeco. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 17'E. Quinones
  2. O. de Leon32'
  3. J. Cardona32'
  4. 46'G. Vasquez ⇄ J. Longo
  5. H. E. Quezada Gamez51'
  6. 58'A. Soto ⇄ F. Morales
  7. 58'D. J. Guzman Miron ⇄ R. Garcia
  8. 72'A. Morales ⇄ J. Trigueno
  9. O. de Leon ⇄ R. Marquez75'
  10. 76'E. Quinones ⇄ J. Correa
  11. 82'M. Chun
  12. 90+1'
  13. H. E. Quezada Gamez ⇄ J. Castaneda90+1'