West Ham vs Southampton Prediction, Odds & Tips
Home or Draw (1X)Odds1.18
West HamDrawSouthampton
50%34%16%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : West Ham or draw.
- Recent form: West Ham WDDWW, Southampton WLWWD (oldest to newest).
- West Ham score 2.7 a game this season; Southampton score 1.9.
Match preview
West Ham host Southampton in the Championship (Regular Season - 12) on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at London Stadium.
This season West Ham score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Southampton score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
In their last 5 meetings, West Ham won 3, Southampton won 0 and 2 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 84% confidence, priced at 1.18.
Quick answers
Who will win West Ham vs Southampton?
Our model gives West Ham 50%, the draw 34% and Southampton 16%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (84% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 63% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 66% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is West Ham 2 - 1 Southampton. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 84% confidence at odds of 1.18.
When is West Ham vs Southampton?
Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at London Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 2'Kuryu Matsuki●
- 11'James Bree●
- Manor Solomon18'
- ●Kyle Walker-PetersAssist: Divine Mukasa24'
- 34'Lewis Dobbin●
- ⇄Felipe Morato ⇄ Ollie Scarles45'
- 51'Caspar Jander
- ⇄Manor Solomon ⇄ Tomáš Souček63'
- ⇄Divine Mukasa ⇄ Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus63'
- 64'Léo Scienza ⇄ Samuel Edozie⇄
- 73'Kuryu Matsuki ⇄ Welington⇄
- ⇄Kyle Walker-Peters ⇄ Edvin Austbö74'
- ⇄Mohamadou Kante ⇄ Joel Piroe74'
- 78'Lewis Dobbin
- 89'Lewis Dobbin ⇄ Divin Mubama⇄
- ●Tomáš SoučekAssist: Taty Castellanos90+3'
Match stats
West HamSouthampton
Expected goals (xG)
1.601.61
Key stats
Per game, this seasonWest HamSouthampton
Model comparison
PercentWest HamSouthampton
Goals scored, last 5
16.07.0
Goals conceded, last 5
3.03.0
Goal forecast: West Ham Under 3.5, Southampton Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
West Ham · last 2
2W 0D 0L17 OctASwansea0-1W
14 OctALincoln0-6W
Southampton · last 2
1W 1D 0L17 OctHBolton0-0D
14 OctANorwich0-1W
Head to head
Last 10Aug 2026Southampton1-4West Ham
Apr 2025West Ham1-1Southampton
Dec 2024Southampton0-1West Ham
Apr 2023West Ham1-0Southampton
Oct 2022Southampton1-1West Ham
Mar 2022Southampton3-1West Ham
Dec 2021West Ham2-3Southampton
Sept 2021Southampton0-0West Ham
May 2021West Ham3-0Southampton
Dec 2020Southampton0-0West Ham
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X13.00
1/229.00
X/210.00
X/X7.50
1/12.50
X/15.00
2/117.00
2/X15.00
2/27.00
Correct score
2-18.50
1-18.50
2-010.00
1-011.00
3-112.00
2-212.00
3-015.00
1-215.00
3-219.00
0-019.00
4-121.00
0-121.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedWest Ham 4-4-2
1M. Hermansen
2K. Walker-Peters
15K. Mavropanos
3M. Kilman
5Morato
20J. Bowen
14D. Mukasa
7A. Engels
10M. Solomon
11V. Castellanos
17M. Kanté
Southampton 4-2-3-1
1Daniel Peretz
14J. Bree
5J. Stephens
13K. Schlotterbeck
3R. Manning
30J. Ward-Prowse
8C. Jander
27K. Matsuki
10F. Azaz
7Léo Scienza
11L. Dobbin
Injuries and suspensions
West Ham: K. Lamadrid, Injury, out
Southampton: C. Larin, Hamstring Injury, doubtful
Southampton: F. Downes, Ankle Injury, doubtful
Southampton: M. Roerslev Rasmussen, Health problems, out