Skip to content
Register
A-League · Regular Season - 1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 1Full time
Melbourne Victory
Hnry Stadium · Referee: Lachlan Keevers

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.33
86%
Confidence · High
Wellington PhoenixDrawMelbourne Victory
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
Yes
59%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
2/2
24%
Double chance
X2
86%
Avg goals
–
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Melbourne Victory.
  • Wellington Phoenix score 0.0 a game this season; Melbourne Victory score 0.0.

Match preview

Wellington Phoenix host Melbourne Victory in the A-League (Regular Season - 1) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Hnry Stadium.

This season Wellington Phoenix score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Melbourne Victory score 2.0 and concede 0.5.

In their last 5 meetings, Wellington Phoenix won 1, Melbourne Victory won 4 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 86% confidence, priced at 1.33.

Quick answers

Who will win Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory?

Our model gives Wellington Phoenix 14%, the draw 39% and Melbourne Victory 47%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (86% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Wellington Phoenix 1 - 1 Melbourne Victory. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 86% confidence at odds of 1.33.

When is Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 02:00 UTC at Hnry Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. C. PiperAssist: M. Sheridan14'
  2. 24'C. Nduka
  3. R. Duran ⇄ N. Walker28'
  4. 45'P. Ziereis
  5. 62'Clarismario ⇄ K. Jelacic
  6. 62'P. Ziereis ⇄ T. Lockyer
  7. J. McGarry ⇄ W. Scott62'
  8. 71'D. Genreau
  9. 74'G. May ⇄ X. Stella
  10. 74'M. Grimaldi ⇄ M. Ghossaini
  11. L. Mitchell ⇄ R. Bidois77'
  12. R. BidoisAssist: N. Walker77'
  13. 87'C. Nduka ⇄ B. Hamill

Match stats

Wellington PhoenixMelbourne Victory
Possession
38%62%
Shots
95
Shots on target
43
Corners
67
Fouls
86
Offsides
23
Yellow cards
02
Saves
22
Passes
331571
Pass accuracy
71%78%