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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · Group D - 7
Vitoria Setubal
Lagoa

Vitoria Setubal vs Lagoa Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
Vitoria SetubalDrawLagoa
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No
51%
Correct score
1-1
8%
HT/FT
2/2
28%
Double chance
X2
90%
Avg goals
2.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Lagoa.
  • Recent form: Vitoria Setubal LWDDL, Lagoa LWDDL (oldest to newest).
  • Vitoria Setubal score 1.2 a game this season; Lagoa score 0.8.

Match preview

Vitoria Setubal host Lagoa in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D (Group D - 7) on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

This season Vitoria Setubal score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals a game; Lagoa score 0.8 and concede 1.0.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Vitoria Setubal vs Lagoa?

Our model gives Vitoria Setubal 10%, the draw 45% and Lagoa 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 51% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 57% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Vitoria Setubal 1 - 1 Lagoa. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 90% confidence.

When is Vitoria Setubal vs Lagoa?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Vitoria SetubalLagoa
Goals scored
1.20.8
Goals conceded
1.81.0
Clean sheets
17%17%

Model comparison

Percent
Vitoria SetubalLagoa
Form
50%50%
Attack
56%44%
Defence
42%58%
Poisson model
30%70%
Overall
45%56%
Form, last 5 games
33%33%
Goals scored, last 5
5.04.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.05.0
Goal forecast: Vitoria Setubal Under 1.5, Lagoa Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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