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UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2
Villarreal
3 - 1Full time
Napoli
Estadio de la Cerámica · Referee: Daniel Siebert

Villarreal vs Napoli Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Away (12)
Odds1.28
74%
Confidence · Good
VillarrealDrawNapoli
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS
Yes
58%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
26%
Double chance
12
74%
Avg goals
–
Expected

Match preview

Villarreal host Napoli in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 2) on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at Estadio de la Cerámica.

This season Villarreal score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals a game; Napoli score 1.6 and concede 1.3.

Our model leans towards Home or Away (12) with 74% confidence, priced at 1.28.

Quick answers

Who will win Villarreal vs Napoli?

Our model gives Villarreal 44%, the draw 26% and Napoli 30%. Our tip is Home or Away (12) (74% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 57% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Villarreal 1 - 1 Napoli. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 12 (Home or Away (12)) has 74% confidence at odds of 1.28.

When is Villarreal vs Napoli?

Kick-off is Tuesday, 13 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Estadio de la Cerámica. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 8'Amir Rrahmani
  2. Georges Mikautadze23'
  3. Álvaro Santiago Mouriño GonzálezAssist: Gerard Moreno26'
  4. Georges Mikautadze33'
  5. 55'Giovane Santana Do Nascimento
  6. 60'Giovane Santana Do Nascimento ⇄ Noa Lang
  7. 60'Scott McTominay ⇄ Leonardo Spinazzola
  8. 61'Matteo Politano ⇄ David Neres
  9. 62'Kevin De Bruyne
  10. Gerard Moreno ⇄ Tani Oluwaseyi63'
  11. Georges Mikautadze ⇄ Alex Freeman63'
  12. Nathan-Dylan Saliba67'
  13. Alberto Moleiro ⇄ Juan Foyth68'
  14. 72'Billy Gilmour ⇄ Stanislav Lobotka
  15. 72'Rafael Marin Zamora ⇄ Lorenzo Lucca
  16. Santi Comesaña ⇄ Ayoze Pérez83'
  17. Pape Gueye ⇄ Sergi Cardona Bermúdez84'
  18. 85'Giovanni Di Lorenzo
  19. Tani OluwaseyiAssist: Ayoze Pérez86'

Match stats

VillarrealNapoli
Possession
52%48%
Expected goals (xG)
1.421.94
Shots
169
Shots on target
42
Corners
44
Fouls
714
Offsides
33
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
00
Saves
11
Passes
450387