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Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Group 14 - 9
Villafranca
Castuera

Villafranca vs Castuera Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
VillafrancaDrawCastuera
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
Yes
56%
Correct score
1-2
8%
HT/FT
2/2
28%
Double chance
X2
90%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Castuera.
  • Recent form: Villafranca LWWDL, Castuera WWLDD (oldest to newest).
  • Villafranca score 1.5 a game this season; Castuera score 1.9.

Match preview

Villafranca host Castuera in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (Group 14 - 9) on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

This season Villafranca score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals a game; Castuera score 1.9 and concede 0.8.

In their last 4 meetings, Villafranca won 1, Castuera won 1 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Villafranca vs Castuera?

Our model gives Villafranca 10%, the draw 45% and Castuera 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Villafranca 1 - 2 Castuera. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 90% confidence.

When is Villafranca vs Castuera?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 11:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
VillafrancaCastuera
Goals scored
1.51.9
Goals conceded
1.60.8
Clean sheets
13%50%

Model comparison

Percent
VillafrancaCastuera
Form
47%53%
Attack
53%47%
Defence
27%73%
Poisson model
39%61%
Head to head
50%50%
Goals
50%50%
Overall
44%56%
Form, last 5 games
47%53%
Goals scored, last 5
9.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
8.03.0
Goal forecast: Villafranca Under 2.5, Castuera Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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