Vila Nova vs Novorizontino Prediction, Odds & Tips
Draw or Away (X2)Odds1.40
Vila NovaDrawNovorizontino
21%38%41%
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : draw or Novorizontino.
- Recent form: Vila Nova WWWDW, Novorizontino LDWWW (oldest to newest).
- Vila Nova score 1.4 a game this season; Novorizontino score 1.8.
Match preview
Vila Nova host Novorizontino in the Serie B (Regular Season - 34) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga.
This season Vila Nova score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Novorizontino score 1.8 and concede 0.9.
In their last 5 meetings, Vila Nova won 1, Novorizontino won 3 and 1 ended level.
Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 79% confidence, priced at 1.40.
Quick answers
Who will win Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?
Our model gives Vila Nova 21%, the draw 38% and Novorizontino 41%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (79% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 54% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 61% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Vila Nova 1 - 1 Novorizontino. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 79% confidence at odds of 1.40.
When is Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?
Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 21:00 UTC at Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 25'RobsonAssist: Eduardo Brock●
- Hayner27'
- Willian Maranhão32'
- 36'Robson
- 41'Sander ⇄ Maykon Kesley de Jesus Ramalho⇄
- ⇄Willian Maranhão ⇄ Raphael Guimarães de Paula45'
- 45'Robson ⇄ Carlos Henrique de Moura Brito⇄
- ●Raphael Guimarães de PaulaAssist: Higor Meritão62'
- 65'Nicolas Morês da Cruz ⇄ Juninho⇄
- ⇄Higor Meritão ⇄ Nathan Camargo70'
- ●André LuísAssist: Raphael Guimarães de Paula71'
- 75'Luís Oyama ⇄ Vinicius⇄
- 75'Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes ⇄ Ronald Barcellos Arantes⇄
- ⇄Hayner ⇄ Igor Cariús77'
- ⇄André Luís ⇄ Guilherme Augusto Alves Dellatorre77'
- 78'Matheus Henrique Bianqui
- ⇄Marquinhos Gabriel ⇄ Tiago Pagnussat84'
- ⇄Everton Galdino ⇄ enzo84'
- 84'Romulo Azevedo Simão ⇄ C. Ortiz⇄
- 90+5'Maykon Kesley de Jesus Ramalho
- 90+8'C. OrtizAssist: Madson Ferreira dos Santos●
Match stats
Vila NovaNovorizontino
Expected goals (xG)
1.080.48
Key stats
Per game, this seasonVila NovaNovorizontino
Model comparison
PercentVila NovaNovorizontino
Goals scored, last 5
6.011.0
Goals conceded, last 5
0.03.0
Goal forecast: Vila Nova Under 2.5, Novorizontino Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Vila Nova · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Novorizontino · last 1
1W 0D 0L12 OctHPonte Preta5-1W
Head to head
Last 9Jun 2026Novorizontino2-1Vila Nova
Sept 2025Novorizontino1-1Vila Nova
May 2025Vila Nova0-1Novorizontino
Aug 2024Novorizontino2-0Vila Nova
May 2024Vila Nova2-1Novorizontino
Jul 2023Novorizontino3-1Vila Nova
Apr 2023Vila Nova2-1Novorizontino
Jul 2022Novorizontino1-1Vila Nova
Apr 2022Vila Nova0-0Novorizontino
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X15.00
1/229.00
X/26.00
X/X4.33
1/14.75
X/16.00
2/134.00
2/X15.00
2/24.33
Correct score
1-15.50
0-07.00
0-17.00
1-07.50
2-111.00
1-211.00
0-212.00
2-013.00
2-217.00
1-323.00
3-126.00
0-326.00
3-029.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedVila Nova 4-2-3-1
1Helton Leite
22Hayner
4Douglas Mendes
23Jonathan Costa
6Higor
21Higor Meritão
8Willian Maranhão
17Everton Galdino
10Marquinhos Gabriel
99Janderson
7André Luís
Novorizontino 4-2-3-1
93Jordi
2Madson
3Carlinhos
14Eduardo Brock
5Sander
17Matheus Bianqui
6Luis Oyama
41Reidiney
10Romulo
30Nicolas Careca
11Robson
