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CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Semi-finals
Vasco DA Gama
1 - 3Full time
Boca Juniors
Estádio do Maracanã · Referee: Jesus Valenzuela

Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.40
77%
Confidence · Good
Vasco DA GamaDrawBoca Juniors
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
BTTS
No
58%
Correct score
0-0
12%
HT/FT
X/X
21%
Double chance
1X
77%
Avg goals
2.2
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Vasco DA Gama or draw and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Vasco DA Gama DWDWW, Boca Juniors WWWDL (oldest to newest).
  • Vasco DA Gama score 1.5 a game this season; Boca Juniors score 1.6.

Match preview

Vasco DA Gama host Boca Juniors in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana (Semi-finals) on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at Estádio do Maracanã.

This season Vasco DA Gama score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals a game; Boca Juniors score 1.5 and concede 0.9.

In their last 1 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 1, Boca Juniors won 0 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 77% confidence, priced at 1.40.

Quick answers

Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors?

Our model gives Vasco DA Gama 40%, the draw 37% and Boca Juniors 23%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (77% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 65% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Vasco DA Gama 0 - 0 Boca Juniors. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 77% confidence at odds of 1.40.

When is Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 00:30 UTC at Estádio do Maracanã. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 4'Lautaro Di LolloAssist: Lautaro Blanco
  2. 34'Miguel MerentielAssist: Sebastián Villa
  3. 37'Leandro Paredes
  4. Thiago Mendes40'
  5. David ⇄ Brenner45'
  6. Adson ⇄ Marino Hinestroza45'
  7. Paulo Henrique ⇄ Jose Luis Rodriguez56'
  8. 57'Rodrigo Battaglia ⇄ Leandro Paredes
  9. Jose Luis Rodriguez66'
  10. 77'Leonel Flores ⇄ Alan Velasco
  11. 77'Miguel Merentiel ⇄ Enner Valencia
  12. 88'Leandro ParedesAssist: Milton Delgado
  13. Alan Lescano ⇄ Claudio Spinelli90'
  14. 90+2'Sebastián Villa ⇄ Ayrton Enrique Costa
  15. 90+2'Alan Velasco

Match stats

Vasco DA GamaBoca Juniors
Possession
59%41%
Expected goals (xG)
0.630.57
Shots
127
Shots on target
23
Corners
55
Fouls
814
Offsides
02
Yellow cards
12
Red cards
00
Saves
01
Passes
560339