V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction, Odds & Tips
V-varen NagasakiDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
7%34%58%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Winner : Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- Recent form: V-varen Nagasaki LWDDL, Sanfrecce Hiroshima LWWWW (oldest to newest).
- V-varen Nagasaki score 1.1 a game this season; Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.5.
Match preview
V-varen Nagasaki host Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League (Regular Season - 11) on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.
This season V-varen Nagasaki score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals a game; Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 1.5 and concede 0.0.
In their last 4 meetings, V-varen Nagasaki won 0, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 4 and 0 ended level.
Our model leans towards Away Win with 58% confidence, priced at 1.40.
Quick answers
Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our model gives V-varen Nagasaki 7%, the draw 34% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 58%. Our tip is Away Win (58% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 52% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 57% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is V-varen Nagasaki 0 - 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 93% confidence at odds of 1.12.
When is V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Kick-off is Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 10:00 UTC at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- ⇄Takuma Ominami ⇄ Yusei Egawa23'
- Hijiri Onaga27'
- ●Hijiri OnagaAssist: Jonathan Junior36'
- ●Matheus JesusAssist: Takashi Sawada45'
- 45'Daiki Suga ⇄ Kim Ju-sung⇄
- 45'Takuma Asano ⇄ Mutsuki Kato⇄
- ⇄Takashi Sawada ⇄ Kenshin Yasuda53'
- Jonathan Junior60'
- 62'Yotaro Nakajima ⇄ Shun Ayukawa⇄
- 65'Sébastien HallerCard upgrade confirmedVAR
- 66'Sébastien Haller
- 71'Naoto Arai ⇄ Taishi Matsumoto⇄
- ●Kenshin YasudaAssist: Matheus Jesus73'
- ⇄Shunya Yoneda ⇄ Asahi Masuyama76'
- ⇄Jonathan Junior ⇄ Ryogo Yamasaki76'
- ⇄Hijiri Onaga ⇄ Ryosuke Shindo76'
- 76'Akito Suzuki ⇄ Takumu Kawamura⇄
- ●Kenshin YasudaAssist: Matheus Jesus90+7'
Match stats
V-varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima
Expected goals (xG)
2.121.47
Key stats
Per game, this seasonV-varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima
Model comparison
PercentV-varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima
Goals scored, last 5
5.014.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.04.0
Goal forecast: V-varen Nagasaki Under 1.5, Sanfrecce Hiroshima Under 3.5
V-varen Nagasaki · last 1
0W 0D 1L17 OctAKashima2-0L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima · last 2
2W 0D 0L17 OctHKyoto Sanga3-0W
14 OctAMatsumoto Yamaga0-1W
Head to head
Last 4Apr 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima2-0V-varen Nagasaki
Feb 2026V-varen Nagasaki1-3Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Aug 2018Sanfrecce Hiroshima2-0V-varen Nagasaki
Apr 2018V-varen Nagasaki0-2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X19.00
1/219.00
X/24.33
X/X7.00
1/111.00
X/113.00
2/141.00
2/X15.00
2/22.10
Correct score
0-27.50
0-18.00
1-28.50
1-19.00
0-310.00
1-312.00
0-015.00
1-017.00
0-417.00
2-119.00
2-219.00
1-421.00
2-321.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedV-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1
1M. Goto
25T. Ominami
29I. Arai
31K. Doi
22H. Onaga
5H. Yamaguchi
41M. Hasegawa
23S. Yoneda
10Matheus Jesus
19T. Sawada
99Jonathan
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-4-2-1
1K. Osako
15S. Nakano
4H. Araki
7S. Higashi
5N. Arai
6H. Kawabe
35Y. Nakajima
18D. Suga
29T. Asano
10A. Suzuki
22S. Haller
