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UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2
Union St. Gilloise
1 - 1Full time
Real Sociedad
Den Dreef Stadium · Referee: Goga Kikacheishvili

Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds2.60
43%
Confidence · Fair
Union St. GilloiseDrawReal Sociedad
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
Yes
65%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
22%
Double chance
1X
82%
Avg goals
3.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Union St. Gilloise.
  • Recent form: Union St. Gilloise W, Real Sociedad L (oldest to newest).
  • Union St. Gilloise score 3.0 a game this season; Real Sociedad score 1.0.

Match preview

Union St. Gilloise host Real Sociedad in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 2) on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at Den Dreef Stadium.

This season Union St. Gilloise score 2.8 and concede 0.5 goals a game; Real Sociedad score 1.9 and concede 1.9.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 43% confidence, priced at 2.60.

Quick answers

Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

Our model gives Union St. Gilloise 43%, the draw 38% and Real Sociedad 18%. Our tip is Home Win (43% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 65% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 60% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Union St. Gilloise 1 - 1 Real Sociedad. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 82% confidence at odds of 1.50.

When is Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

Kick-off is Thursday, 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC at Den Dreef Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. David Hubert39'
  2. 45'Yangel Herrera ⇄ Benat Turrientes
  3. 46'Benat Turrientes
  4. Nohim Chibani58'
  5. Nohim Chibani ⇄ Denzel De Roeve63'
  6. 68'Luka Sučić ⇄ Takefusa Kubo
  7. Darius Olaru ⇄ Dylan Aquino71'
  8. Relebohile Mofokeng73'
  9. 74'Mamadou Sarr
  10. 79'Job Ochieng ⇄ Pablo Marin
  11. 79'Gonçalo Guedes ⇄ Ander Barrenetxea
  12. Mateo Biondic ⇄ Sekou Abrahame Keita84'
  13. Sekou Abrahame Keita88'
  14. 90+2'Mikel Oyarzabal ⇄ Orri Steinn Óskarsson

Match stats

Union St. GilloiseReal Sociedad
Possession
44%56%
Expected goals (xG)
2.090.65
Shots
165
Shots on target
51
Corners
42
Fouls
1513
Offsides
01
Yellow cards
21
Red cards
00
Saves
04
Passes
425547