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Liga 3 · Regular Season - 7
União Santarém
Vitória de Sernache
Campo Cha das Padeiras

União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds2.05
45%
Confidence · Fair
União SantarémDrawVitória de Sernache
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
Yes
56%
Correct score
1-1
12%
HT/FT
1/1
24%
Double chance
1X
82%
Avg goals
2.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : União Santarém.
  • Recent form: União Santarém DLLWW, Vitória de Sernache DLLLW (oldest to newest).
  • União Santarém score 1.0 a game this season; Vitória de Sernache score 0.7.

Match preview

União Santarém host Vitória de Sernache in the Liga 3 (Regular Season - 7) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Campo Cha das Padeiras.

This season União Santarém score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals a game; Vitória de Sernache score 0.7 and concede 2.2.

In their last 3 meetings, União Santarém won 3, Vitória de Sernache won 0 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 45% confidence, priced at 2.05.

Quick answers

Who will win União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache?

Our model gives União Santarém 45%, the draw 37% and Vitória de Sernache 18%. Our tip is Home Win (45% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 57% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is União Santarém 1 - 1 Vitória de Sernache. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 82% confidence at odds of 1.25.

When is União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 20:00 UTC at Campo Cha das Padeiras. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
União SantarémVitória de Sernache
Goals scored
1.00.7
Goals conceded
1.72.2
Clean sheets
17%33%

Model comparison

Percent
União SantarémVitória de Sernache
Form
64%36%
Attack
60%40%
Defence
50%50%
Poisson model
89%11%
Head to head
91%9%
Goals
89%11%
Overall
74%26%
Form, last 5 games
47%27%
Goals scored, last 5
6.04.0
Goals conceded, last 5
8.08.0
Goal forecast: União Santarém Under 3.5, Vitória de Sernache Under 1.5

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