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Liga de Expansión MX · Apertura - 10
Tapatío
4 - 1Full time
Tepatitlán
Estadio Akron

Tapatío vs Tepatitlán Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds1.48
49%
Confidence · Fair
TapatíoDrawTepatitlán
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
Yes
63%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
38%
Double chance
1X
76%
Avg goals
3.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Winner : Tapatío and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Tapatío LLWLL, Tepatitlán LLLWD (oldest to newest).
  • Tapatío score 1.7 a game this season; Tepatitlán score 0.8.

Match preview

Tapatío host Tepatitlán in the Liga de Expansión MX (Apertura - 10) on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at Estadio Akron.

This season Tapatío score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals a game; Tepatitlán score 0.8 and concede 2.8.

In their last 5 meetings, Tapatío won 0, Tepatitlán won 3 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 49% confidence, priced at 1.48.

Quick answers

Who will win Tapatío vs Tepatitlán?

Our model gives Tapatío 49%, the draw 27% and Tepatitlán 24%. Our tip is Home Win (49% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 63% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 65% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Tapatío 2 - 1 Tepatitlán. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 76% confidence at odds of 1.14.

When is Tapatío vs Tepatitlán?

Kick-off is Tuesday, 13 October 2026, 23:00 UTC at Estadio Akron. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. V. Moragrega3'
  2. S. Zamora16'
  3. 20'J. Cruz
  4. V. Moragrega22'
  5. 26'J. Cruz
  6. D. VillasecaAssist: J. Uribe36'
  7. 40'J. Sanchez
  8. 44'N. Martinez
  9. C. Soldati45+2'
  10. J. Uribe ⇄ L. Jimenez46'
  11. 46'N. Martinez
  12. 46'N. Martinez
  13. V. Moragrega ⇄ D. Zamarripa46'
  14. D. Villaseca ⇄ G. Garcia56'
  15. 62'J. Godinez ⇄ B. Casas
  16. 62'V. Valencia ⇄ I. Contreras
  17. 63'L. Egurrola ⇄ G. Olvera
  18. G. Garcia65'
  19. S. Zamora ⇄ L. Ledesma69'
  20. 69'A. Moreno ⇄ F. Sanguinetti
  21. 70'A. Gatica ⇄ D. Rodriguez
  22. G. Gutierrez ⇄ R. Nuno85'
  23. G. GarciaAssist: L. Jimenez87'
  24. 90'F. Sanguinetti

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