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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 10
Sturm Graz
2 - 2Full time
Ried
Stadion Graz-Liebenau · Referee: Safak Barmaksiz

Sturm Graz vs Ried Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.18
86%
Confidence · High
Sturm GrazDrawRied
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
Yes
63%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
33%
Double chance
1X
86%
Avg goals
3.2
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Sturm Graz or draw and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Sturm Graz LWLWW, Ried LDWWW (oldest to newest).
  • Sturm Graz score 1.8 a game this season; Ried score 1.8.

Match preview

Sturm Graz host Ried in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 10) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Stadion Graz-Liebenau.

Sturm Graz come into the game with a form of WWL (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3).

This season Sturm Graz score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Ried score 1.8 and concede 1.7.

In their last 5 meetings, Sturm Graz won 4, Ried won 0 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 86% confidence, priced at 1.18.

Quick answers

Who will win Sturm Graz vs Ried?

Our model gives Sturm Graz 53%, the draw 33% and Ried 14%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (86% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 63% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 64% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Sturm Graz 2 - 1 Ried. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 86% confidence at odds of 1.18.

When is Sturm Graz vs Ried?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 13:30 UTC at Stadion Graz-Liebenau. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 25'Luka Capan
  2. Simon Seidl31'
  3. Arjan MalićCard upgrade confirmed45'
  4. Arjan Malić45+2'
  5. Jon Gorenc Stanković45+4'
  6. 45+5'Philipp PomerPenalty
  7. 47'Fabian Hubert Rossdorfer
  8. 55'Isaac ThelinAssist: Fabian Hubert Rossdorfer
  9. 63'Lukas Malicsek ⇄ Martin Rasner
  10. 64'Jussef Nasrawe ⇄ Stefan Schwab
  11. Luis Balbo ⇄ Petar Petrović67'
  12. Simon Seidl ⇄ Belmin Beganovic67'
  13. Oumar Diakité ⇄ Szymon Wlodarczyk78'
  14. Jon Gorenc Stanković ⇄ Julian Halwachs78'
  15. 80'Isaac Thelin ⇄ Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
  16. 80'J. Rhodes ⇄ Joris Boguo
  17. 87'Luka Capan ⇄ Oliver Steurer
  18. Valmir Matoshi ⇄ Niklas Geyrhofer89'
  19. Belmin BeganovicAssist: Jacob Peter Hödl90+2'
  20. Szymon Wlodarczyk90+2'

Match stats

Sturm GrazRied
Possession
44%56%
Expected goals (xG)
1.981.39
Shots
2710
Shots on target
64
Corners
82
Fouls
814
Offsides
10
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
10
Saves
24
Passes
327439

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