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USL Championship · Group Stage
Sporting JAX
Louisville City
Hodges Stadium

Sporting JAX vs Louisville City Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Away Win
Odds1.38
58%
Confidence · Fair
Sporting JAXDrawLouisville City
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
Yes
56%
Correct score
0-2
8%
HT/FT
2/2
42%
Double chance
X2
93%
Avg goals
3.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Winner : Louisville City and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Sporting JAX LLLLL, Louisville City DLWDW (oldest to newest).
  • Sporting JAX score 1.1 a game this season; Louisville City score 1.7.

Match preview

Sporting JAX host Louisville City in the USL Championship (Group Stage) on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at Hodges Stadium.

This season Sporting JAX score 1.1 and concede 2.6 goals a game; Louisville City score 1.8 and concede 1.5.

In their last 1 meetings, Sporting JAX won 0, Louisville City won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Away Win with 58% confidence, priced at 1.38.

Quick answers

Who will win Sporting JAX vs Louisville City?

Our model gives Sporting JAX 7%, the draw 35% and Louisville City 58%. Our tip is Away Win (58% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 65% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Sporting JAX 0 - 2 Louisville City. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 93% confidence at odds of 1.08.

When is Sporting JAX vs Louisville City?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 23:30 UTC at Hodges Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Sporting JAXLouisville City
Goals scored
1.11.8
Goals conceded
2.61.5
Clean sheets
0%21%

Model comparison

Percent
Sporting JAXLouisville City
Form
0%100%
Attack
20%80%
Defence
30%70%
Poisson model
28%72%
Head to head
0%100%
Goals
0%100%
Overall
26%74%
Form, last 5 games
0%53%
Goals scored, last 5
2.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
14.06.0
Goal forecast: Sporting JAX Under 2.5, Louisville City Under 4.5