Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC Prediction, Odds & Tips
Draw or Away (X2)Odds1.50
Sport RecifeDrawFortaleza EC
22%38%41%
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : draw or Fortaleza EC.
- Recent form: Sport Recife WLWWD, Fortaleza EC WDDWD (oldest to newest).
- Sport Recife score 1.4 a game this season; Fortaleza EC score 1.2.
Match preview
Sport Recife host Fortaleza EC in the Serie B (Regular Season - 34) on Friday, 16 October 2026 at Ilha do Retiro.
This season Sport Recife score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Fortaleza EC score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
In their last 5 meetings, Sport Recife won 1, Fortaleza EC won 4 and 0 ended level.
Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 78% confidence, priced at 1.50.
Quick answers
Who will win Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC?
Our model gives Sport Recife 22%, the draw 38% and Fortaleza EC 41%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (78% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 51% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 55% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Sport Recife 1 - 1 Fortaleza EC. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 78% confidence at odds of 1.50.
When is Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC?
Kick-off is Friday, 16 October 2026, 23:30 UTC at Ilha do Retiro. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- Marcelo Ajul13'
- 19'Maurício Mucuri
- Mariano Andrés Soso27'
- 44'Tomás Cardona
- Marcelo Ajul45'
- 45'Maurício Mucuri ⇄ Kaio Henrique⇄
- ⇄Biel ⇄ José Gabriel dos Santos Silva45'
- 45+3'Tomás CardonaAssist: Maílton●
- Biel45+6'
- 54'Juan Camilo Cantillo ⇄ Pedro Henrique⇄
- 58'Jailson Siqueira
- ⇄Raí Lopes de Oliveira ⇄ Edson Lucas Pereira59'
- ⇄Diego·Hernandez ⇄ Marlon Douglas59'
- ⇄Pedro Henrique Perotti ⇄ Neto Pessoa59'
- 66'Tomás Cardona ⇄ Lucas Xavier Gazal⇄
- 69'Rodrigo Henrique Santos De Souza●
- ⇄Willian Oliveira ⇄ Carlos María de Pena Bonino79'
- 80'Jailson Siqueira
- 83'Neris ⇄ ronald falkoski⇄
- 83'Luiz Fernando ⇄ Welliton Silva de Azevedo Matheus⇄
- ⇄Habraão Lincon do Nascimento Saraiva ⇄ Kervin Andrade83'
- 90+5'Rodrigo Henrique Santos De Souza ⇄ Rodrigo Oliveira dos Santos⇄
Match stats
Sport RecifeFortaleza EC
Expected goals (xG)
0.780.70
Key stats
Per game, this seasonSport RecifeFortaleza EC
Model comparison
PercentSport RecifeFortaleza EC
Goals scored, last 5
8.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.06.0
Goal forecast: Sport Recife Under 2.5, Fortaleza EC Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Sport Recife · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Fortaleza EC · last 1
0W 1D 0L12 OctHCRB2-2D
Head to head
Last 10Jun 2026Fortaleza EC2-1Sport Recife
May 2026Sport Recife0-2Fortaleza EC
May 2026Fortaleza EC1-2Sport Recife
Apr 2026Fortaleza EC2-0Sport Recife
Sept 2025Fortaleza EC1-0Sport Recife
Apr 2025Sport Recife0-0Fortaleza EC
Feb 2025Sport Recife0-2Fortaleza EC
May 2024Sport Recife1-4Fortaleza EC
Feb 2024Sport Recife1-1Fortaleza EC
Apr 2022Fortaleza EC1-0Sport Recife
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X15.00
1/229.00
X/26.00
X/X4.75
1/14.50
X/16.50
2/129.00
2/X15.00
2/24.33
Correct score
1-16.00
0-18.00
1-08.50
0-08.50
1-210.00
2-111.00
0-212.00
2-013.00
2-215.00
1-321.00
3-123.00
3-026.00
3-229.00
0-326.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedSport Recife 4-2-3-1
26Thiago Couto
27Claudinho
28Habraão
3Marcelo Ajul
76Raí
6Biel
30Chrystian Barletta
29Willian Oliveira
20D. Hernández
7Patrick de Paula
9Perotti
Fortaleza EC 3-5-1-1
1João Ricardo
23Neris
15Bartolomeu Jacinto Quissanga
6T. Cardona
22Maílton
32Luiz Fernando
5Pierre
20Jaílson
13Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues
75Rodriguinho
21J. Cantillo
