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Coppa Italia Serie C · Round of 16
Spezia
Livorno
Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia vs Livorno Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds–
45%
Confidence · Fair
SpeziaDrawLivorno
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
Yes
62%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
3.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Spezia.
  • Recent form: Spezia WW, Livorno WW (oldest to newest).
  • Spezia score 3.5 a game this season; Livorno score 2.0.

Match preview

Spezia host Livorno in the Coppa Italia Serie C (Round of 16) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Stadio Alberto Picco.

This season Spezia score 3.5 and concede 0.5 goals a game; Livorno score 2.0 and concede 0.5.

In their last 5 meetings, Spezia won 5, Livorno won 0 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 45% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Spezia vs Livorno?

Our model gives Spezia 45%, the draw 45% and Livorno 10%. Our tip is Home Win (45% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 62% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 63% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Spezia 2 - 1 Livorno. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Spezia vs Livorno?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 17:00 UTC at Stadio Alberto Picco. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
SpeziaLivorno
Goals scored
3.52.0
Goals conceded
0.50.5
Clean sheets
50%50%

Model comparison

Percent
SpeziaLivorno
Form
50%50%
Attack
64%36%
Defence
50%50%
Poisson model
0%100%
Head to head
100%0%
Goals
92%8%
Overall
64%36%
Form, last 5 games
100%100%
Goals scored, last 5
7.04.0
Goals conceded, last 5
1.01.0
Goal forecast: Spezia Under 4.5, Livorno Under 2.5

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