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Championship · Regular Season - 11
Southampton
0 - 0Full time
Bolton
St. Mary's Stadium · Referee: Matt Donohue

Southampton vs Bolton Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds1.48
55%
Confidence · Fair
SouthamptonDrawBolton
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS
Yes
59%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
41%
Double chance
1X
87%
Avg goals
3.2
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Winner : Southampton and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Southampton WWLWW, Bolton LWWLW (oldest to newest).
  • Southampton score 2.1 a game this season; Bolton score 1.5.

Match preview

Southampton host Bolton in the Championship (Regular Season - 11) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at St. Mary's Stadium.

This season Southampton score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals a game; Bolton score 1.4 and concede 1.6.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 55% confidence, priced at 1.48.

Quick answers

Who will win Southampton vs Bolton?

Our model gives Southampton 55%, the draw 32% and Bolton 13%. Our tip is Home Win (55% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 68% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Southampton 2 - 1 Bolton. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 87% confidence at odds of 1.10.

When is Southampton vs Bolton?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at St. Mary's Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Cyle Larin ⇄ Lewis Dobbin41'
  2. 44'Akin Famewo
  3. 45'Atsuki Ito ⇄ Ruben Rodrigues
  4. Tom Fellows ⇄ Kuryu Matsuki45'
  5. Cameron Bragg59'
  6. 61'Xavier Simons ⇄ Ethan Erhahon
  7. 61'Thierry Gale ⇄ Kyliane Dong
  8. Welington ⇄ Ryan Manning73'
  9. Cameron Bragg ⇄ Samuel Edozie73'
  10. 73'Sam Dalby ⇄ Thelonius Bair
  11. 76'Lewis Brunt
  12. 83'Thelonius Bair
  13. Kuryu Matsuki85'
  14. 87'Gaizka Larrazabal ⇄ Samuel Iling
  15. 88'Luca Stephenson

Match stats

SouthamptonBolton
Possession
62%38%
Expected goals (xG)
1.911.24
Shots
1414
Shots on target
23
Corners
53
Fouls
89
Offsides
100
Yellow cards
24
Red cards
00
Saves
32
Passes
610363