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Ligi kuu Bara · Regular Season - 9
Simba
Mbeya City
Isamuhyo Stadium

Simba vs Mbeya City Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds–
50%
Confidence · Fair
SimbaDrawMbeya City
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No
56%
Correct score
2-1
0%
HT/FT
1/1
31%
Double chance
1X
95%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Simba.
  • Recent form: Simba WWWWW, Mbeya City WDLLL (oldest to newest).
  • Simba score 2.4 a game this season; Mbeya City score 1.0.

Match preview

Simba host Mbeya City in the Ligi kuu Bara (Regular Season - 9) on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Isamuhyo Stadium.

This season Simba score 4.3 and concede 0.7 goals a game; Mbeya City score 1.0 and concede 1.1.

In their last 5 meetings, Simba won 4, Mbeya City won 0 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 50% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Simba vs Mbeya City?

Our model gives Simba 50%, the draw 50% and Mbeya City 0%. Our tip is Home Win (50% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 54% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Simba 2 - 1 Mbeya City. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 95% confidence.

When is Simba vs Mbeya City?

Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at Isamuhyo Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
SimbaMbeya City
Goals scored
4.31.0
Goals conceded
0.71.1
Clean sheets
33%38%

Model comparison

Percent
SimbaMbeya City
Form
79%21%
Attack
76%24%
Defence
78%22%
Poisson model
83%17%
Head to head
93%7%
Goals
79%21%
Overall
81%19%
Form, last 5 games
100%27%
Goals scored, last 5
13.04.0
Goals conceded, last 5
2.07.0
Goal forecast: Simba Under 3.5, Mbeya City Under 1.5

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