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First League · Regular Season - 15
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Spartak Kostroma
Stadion Shinnik

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
Shinnik YaroslavlDrawSpartak Kostroma
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS
No
53%
Correct score
1-1
8%
HT/FT
2/2
28%
Double chance
X2
90%
Avg goals
2.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Spartak Kostroma and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Shinnik Yaroslavl DLDWD, Spartak Kostroma WWLLW (oldest to newest).
  • Shinnik Yaroslavl score 1.3 a game this season; Spartak Kostroma score 1.4.

Match preview

Shinnik Yaroslavl host Spartak Kostroma in the First League (Regular Season - 15) on Monday, 26 October 2026 at Stadion Shinnik.

This season Shinnik Yaroslavl score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Spartak Kostroma score 1.4 and concede 0.9.

In their last 2 meetings, Shinnik Yaroslavl won 0, Spartak Kostroma won 0 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma?

Our model gives Shinnik Yaroslavl 10%, the draw 45% and Spartak Kostroma 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 53% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 60% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Shinnik Yaroslavl 1 - 1 Spartak Kostroma. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 90% confidence.

When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma?

Kick-off is Monday, 26 October 2026, 16:30 UTC at Stadion Shinnik. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Shinnik YaroslavlSpartak Kostroma
Goals scored
1.31.4
Goals conceded
1.00.9
Clean sheets
36%50%

Model comparison

Percent
Shinnik YaroslavlSpartak Kostroma
Form
40%60%
Attack
36%64%
Defence
63%38%
Poisson model
46%54%
Head to head
50%50%
Goals
50%50%
Overall
48%53%
Form, last 5 games
40%60%
Goals scored, last 5
4.07.0
Goals conceded, last 5
3.05.0
Goal forecast: Shinnik Yaroslavl Under 1.5, Spartak Kostroma Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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