Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia Prediction, Odds & Tips
Draw or Away (X2)Odds1.28
Shimizu S-pulseDrawMachida Zelvia
16%37%47%
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : draw or Machida Zelvia.
- Recent form: Shimizu S-pulse LWWWD, Machida Zelvia WWDLW (oldest to newest).
- Shimizu S-pulse score 1.0 a game this season; Machida Zelvia score 2.4.
Match preview
Shimizu S-pulse host Machida Zelvia in the J1 League (Regular Season - 11) on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
This season Shimizu S-pulse score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Machida Zelvia score 2.5 and concede 1.0.
In their last 5 meetings, Shimizu S-pulse won 2, Machida Zelvia won 2 and 1 ended level.
Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 84% confidence, priced at 1.28.
Quick answers
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
Our model gives Shimizu S-pulse 16%, the draw 37% and Machida Zelvia 47%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (84% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 53% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 60% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Shimizu S-pulse 1 - 1 Machida Zelvia. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 84% confidence at odds of 1.28.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
Kick-off is Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 10:00 UTC at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- Yuki Honda17'
- Kai Matsuzaki31'
- 35'Neta Lavi●
- 50'Koki OgawaAssist: Takahiro Akimoto●
- ⇄Kei Koizumi ⇄ Kenta Inoue57'
- ⇄Capixaba ⇄ Tomoya Fujii57'
- 62'Takuma NishimuraAssist: Yuki Soma●
- Kai Matsuzaki63'
- ⇄Oh Se-hun ⇄ Ryo Germain69'
- 73'Neta Lavi ⇄ Ryohei Shirasaki⇄
- 73'Yuki Soma ⇄ Mitchell Duke⇄
- 73'Henry Heroki Mochizuki ⇄ Hotaka Nakamura⇄
- 77'Takuma NishimuraAssist: Gen Shoji●
- ⇄Hidehiro Sugai ⇄ Yutaka Yoshida79'
- ⇄Masaki Yumiba ⇄ Kazuki Kozuka79'
- 79'Hiroyuki Mae ⇄ Hokuto Shimoda⇄
- 82'Takuma Nishimura●
- 86'Takuma Nishimura ⇄ Futa Tokumura⇄
Match stats
Shimizu S-pulseMachida Zelvia
Expected goals (xG)
0.213.87
Key stats
Per game, this seasonShimizu S-pulseMachida Zelvia
Model comparison
PercentShimizu S-pulseMachida Zelvia
Goals scored, last 5
8.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.07.0
Goal forecast: Shimizu S-pulse Under 1.5, Machida Zelvia Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Shimizu S-pulse · last 2
0W 1D 1L17 OctHGamba Osaka2-2D
14 OctAYokohama F. Marinos2-1L
Machida Zelvia · last 2
2W 0D 0L18 OctHAvispa Fukuoka3-0W
15 OctATampines Rovers0-1W
Head to head
Last 6Jul 2025Machida Zelvia3-0Shimizu S-pulse
May 2025Shimizu S-pulse2-2Machida Zelvia
Aug 2023Shimizu S-pulse3-2Machida Zelvia
May 2023Machida Zelvia2-1Shimizu S-pulse
Oct 2016Shimizu S-pulse2-0Machida Zelvia
Jun 2016Machida Zelvia1-2Shimizu S-pulse
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X15.00
1/226.00
X/25.00
X/X5.00
1/16.00
X/17.50
2/134.00
2/X13.00
2/23.40
Correct score
1-16.50
0-16.50
0-08.00
0-28.50
1-29.00
1-010.00
2-115.00
2-217.00
0-317.00
1-317.00
2-019.00
3-134.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedShimizu S-pulse 4-1-4-1
16T. Umeda
24H. Sugai
4S. Hasukawa
15Y. Honda
25Mateus Brunetti
17M. Yumiba
21K. Matsuzaki
37K. Koizumi
47Y. Shimamoto
7Capixaba
9Oh Se-Hun
Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1
1K. Tani
3G. Shōji
50D. Okamura
2T. Ouwejan
6H. Mochizuki
16H. Mae
31N. Lavi
33T. Akimoto
20T. Nishimura
7Y. Soma
9Koki Ogawa
