Skip to content
Register
Carioca B2 · Group Stage - 10
Serra Macaense
Paraty

Serra Macaense vs Paraty Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds–
45%
Confidence · Fair
Serra MacaenseDrawParaty
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS
Yes
50%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
3.2
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Serra Macaense.
  • Recent form: Serra Macaense WWWDW, Paraty LLLLL (oldest to newest).
  • Serra Macaense score 1.7 a game this season; Paraty score 0.6.

Match preview

Serra Macaense host Paraty in the Carioca B2 (Group Stage - 10) on Sunday, 25 October 2026.

This season Serra Macaense score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Paraty score 0.6 and concede 3.1.

In their last 1 meetings, Serra Macaense won 0, Paraty won 0 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 45% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Serra Macaense vs Paraty?

Our model gives Serra Macaense 45%, the draw 45% and Paraty 10%. Our tip is Home Win (45% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 50% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 62% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Serra Macaense 2 - 1 Paraty. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Serra Macaense vs Paraty?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 18:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Serra MacaenseParaty
Goals scored
1.70.6
Goals conceded
1.03.1
Clean sheets
33%0%

Model comparison

Percent
Serra MacaenseParaty
Form
100%0%
Attack
77%23%
Defence
81%19%
Poisson model
79%21%
Head to head
50%50%
Goals
50%50%
Overall
67%33%
Form, last 5 games
87%0%
Goals scored, last 5
10.03.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.017.0
Goal forecast: Serra Macaense Under 3.5, Paraty Under 1.5

More from Carioca B2

All ›
Brazil: Carioca B2SE Belford RoxovsBarra Mansa1X–90%Brazil: Carioca B2BúziosvsPaduanoX2–95%Brazil: Carioca B2Cardoso MoreiravsFriburguenseX2–90%Brazil: Carioca B2Rio de Janeirovs7 de Abril1X–70%