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USL League One · Group Stage
Sarasota Paradise
Naples
Premier Sports Campus

Sarasota Paradise vs Naples Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.28
71%
Confidence · Good
Sarasota ParadiseDrawNaples
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS
Yes
58%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
26%
Double chance
1X
71%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Sarasota Paradise or draw.
  • Recent form: Sarasota Paradise DWWLW, Naples DWWWW (oldest to newest).
  • Sarasota Paradise score 1.4 a game this season; Naples score 1.2.

Match preview

Sarasota Paradise host Naples in the USL League One (Group Stage) on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at Premier Sports Campus.

This season Sarasota Paradise score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals a game; Naples score 1.2 and concede 1.5.

In their last 3 meetings, Sarasota Paradise won 1, Naples won 2 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 71% confidence, priced at 1.28.

Quick answers

Who will win Sarasota Paradise vs Naples?

Our model gives Sarasota Paradise 40%, the draw 30% and Naples 29%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (71% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 51% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Sarasota Paradise 1 - 1 Naples. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 71% confidence at odds of 1.28.

When is Sarasota Paradise vs Naples?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 22:30 UTC at Premier Sports Campus. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Sarasota ParadiseNaples
Goals scored
1.51.2
Goals conceded
1.51.5
Clean sheets
20%33%

Model comparison

Percent
Sarasota ParadiseNaples
Form
43%57%
Attack
67%33%
Defence
30%70%
Poisson model
62%38%
Head to head
33%67%
Goals
43%57%
Overall
46%54%
Form, last 5 games
67%87%
Goals scored, last 5
16.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.03.0
Goal forecast: Sarasota Paradise Under 3.5, Naples Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw