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Serie B · Regular Season - 35
São Bernardo
3 - 2Full time
Vila Nova
Estadio Primeiro de Maio · Referee: Alex Gomes Stefano

São Bernardo vs Vila Nova Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.40
80%
Confidence · High
São BernardoDrawVila Nova
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS
No
54%
Correct score
1-1
12%
HT/FT
2/2
21%
Double chance
X2
80%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Vila Nova.
  • Recent form: São Bernardo DWLDL, Vila Nova WWDWD (oldest to newest).
  • São Bernardo score 1.4 a game this season; Vila Nova score 1.4.

Match preview

São Bernardo host Vila Nova in the Serie B (Regular Season - 35) on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Estadio Primeiro de Maio.

This season São Bernardo score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Vila Nova score 1.4 and concede 1.0.

In their last 1 meetings, São Bernardo won 0, Vila Nova won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 80% confidence, priced at 1.40.

Quick answers

Who will win São Bernardo vs Vila Nova?

Our model gives São Bernardo 20%, the draw 38% and Vila Nova 42%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (80% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 54% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 60% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is São Bernardo 1 - 1 Vila Nova. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 80% confidence at odds of 1.40.

When is São Bernardo vs Vila Nova?

Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 19:30 UTC at Estadio Primeiro de Maio. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 2'JandersonAssist: Higor Meritão
  2. Lucas Eduardo·Lima da SilvaAssist: Fabrício Daniel6'
  3. 49'Everton Galdino
  4. Lucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva ⇄ Foguinho57'
  5. 59'Hayner
  6. 61'Marquinhos Gabriel ⇄ Igor Cariús
  7. Fabrício Daniel ⇄ Hyoran65'
  8. 66'André Luís ⇄ Willian Maranhão
  9. 66'Higor Meritão ⇄ Guilherme Augusto Alves Dellatorre
  10. Marcão Silva ⇄ Daniel Amorim66'
  11. Lucas Fernandes ⇄ Breno Ruan Melo Almeida67'
  12. 76'João Pedro Vieira ⇄ Nathan Camargo
  13. 76'Everton Galdino ⇄ Willian Prado Camargo
  14. Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes ⇄ Daniel Davi Simão Roque79'
  15. Eduardo·da Silva Albuquerque88'
  16. Rodrigo Ferreira90+6'
  17. Foguinho90+9'
  18. 90+10'Igor Cariús
  19. Eduardo·da Silva Albuquerque90+11'

Match stats

São BernardoVila Nova
Possession
65%35%
Expected goals (xG)
1.541.94
Shots
1613
Shots on target
75
Corners
83
Fouls
1615
Offsides
11
Yellow cards
21
Red cards
01
Saves
33
Passes
579317

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