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Serie D - Girone F · Group F - 8
Santegidiese
Vigor Senigallia

Santegidiese vs Vigor Senigallia Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
SantegidieseDrawVigor Senigallia
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
Yes
61%
Correct score
1-2
8%
HT/FT
2/2
28%
Double chance
X2
90%
Avg goals
3.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Vigor Senigallia and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Santegidiese LWDLL, Vigor Senigallia WWDLL (oldest to newest).
  • Santegidiese score 1.0 a game this season; Vigor Senigallia score 2.1.

Match preview

Santegidiese host Vigor Senigallia in the Serie D - Girone F (Group F - 8) on Sunday, 18 October 2026.

This season Santegidiese score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals a game; Vigor Senigallia score 2.1 and concede 1.5.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Santegidiese vs Vigor Senigallia?

Our model gives Santegidiese 10%, the draw 45% and Vigor Senigallia 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 61% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 59% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Santegidiese 1 - 2 Vigor Senigallia. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 90% confidence.

When is Santegidiese vs Vigor Senigallia?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
SantegidieseVigor Senigallia
Goals scored
0.92.1
Goals conceded
1.41.5
Clean sheets
13%38%

Model comparison

Percent
SantegidieseVigor Senigallia
Form
36%64%
Attack
31%69%
Defence
59%41%
Poisson model
38%62%
Overall
41%59%
Form, last 5 games
27%47%
Goals scored, last 5
4.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.010.0
Goal forecast: Santegidiese Under 2.5, Vigor Senigallia Under 3.5Model verdict: Win or draw