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Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Group 12 - 1
San Miguel
Estrella

San Miguel vs Estrella Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds–
45%
Confidence · Fair
San MiguelDrawEstrella
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS
Yes
59%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
3.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : San Miguel.
  • Recent form: San Miguel WLWWL, Estrella WLDLW (oldest to newest).
  • San Miguel score 1.5 a game this season; Estrella score 1.4.

Match preview

San Miguel host Estrella in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (Group 12 - 1) on Wednesday, 21 October 2026.

This season San Miguel score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals a game; Estrella score 1.2 and concede 1.7.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 45% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win San Miguel vs Estrella?

Our model gives San Miguel 45%, the draw 45% and Estrella 10%. Our tip is Home Win (45% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 57% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is San Miguel 2 - 1 Estrella. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is San Miguel vs Estrella?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 16:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
San MiguelEstrella
Goals scored
1.51.2
Goals conceded
1.21.7
Clean sheets
33%17%

Model comparison

Percent
San MiguelEstrella
Form
56%44%
Attack
53%47%
Defence
60%40%
Poisson model
91%9%
Overall
65%35%
Form, last 5 games
60%47%
Goals scored, last 5
8.07.0
Goals conceded, last 5
6.09.0
Goal forecast: San Miguel Under 4.5, Estrella Under 1.5