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Primera Division · Apertura - 14
San Marcos
0 - 0Full time
Matagalpa

San Marcos vs Matagalpa Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
San MarcosDrawMatagalpa
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
Yes
56%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : San Marcos or draw.
  • Recent form: San Marcos WLLLL, Matagalpa WLLLL (oldest to newest).
  • San Marcos score 1.1 a game this season; Matagalpa score 0.6.

Match preview

San Marcos host Matagalpa in the Primera Division (Apertura - 14) on Saturday, 24 October 2026.

This season San Marcos score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals a game; Matagalpa score 0.6 and concede 2.4.

In their last 1 meetings, San Marcos won 0, Matagalpa won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win San Marcos vs Matagalpa?

Our model gives San Marcos 45%, the draw 45% and Matagalpa 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is San Marcos 2 - 1 Matagalpa. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is San Marcos vs Matagalpa?

Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 23:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
San MarcosMatagalpa
Goals scored
1.10.6
Goals conceded
1.72.4
Clean sheets
8%25%

Model comparison

Percent
San MarcosMatagalpa
Form
50%50%
Attack
67%33%
Defence
59%41%
Poisson model
71%29%
Head to head
0%100%
Goals
0%100%
Overall
62%38%
Form, last 5 games
20%20%
Goals scored, last 5
8.04.0
Goals conceded, last 5
11.016.0
Goal forecast: San Marcos Under 2.5, Matagalpa Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw