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Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 10
Şamaxı FK
Neftchi Baku
Shamakhi City Stadium

Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
Şamaxı FKDrawNeftchi Baku
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS
Yes
58%
Correct score
1-2
8%
HT/FT
2/2
28%
Double chance
X2
90%
Avg goals
3.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Neftchi Baku and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Şamaxı FK DWDWL, Neftchi Baku WWDDD (oldest to newest).
  • Şamaxı FK score 1.4 a game this season; Neftchi Baku score 2.4.

Match preview

Şamaxı FK host Neftchi Baku in the Premyer Liqa (Regular Season - 10) on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at Shamakhi City Stadium.

Şamaxı FK come into the game with a form of WLW (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3).

In their last 5 meetings, Şamaxı FK won 0, Neftchi Baku won 3 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku?

Our model gives Şamaxı FK 10%, the draw 45% and Neftchi Baku 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 58% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Şamaxı FK 1 - 2 Neftchi Baku. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 90% confidence.

When is Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 11:00 UTC at Shamakhi City Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Şamaxı FKNeftchi Baku
Goals scored
0.02.4
Goals conceded
0.01.0

Model comparison

Percent
Şamaxı FKNeftchi Baku
Form
47%53%
Attack
44%56%
Defence
46%54%
Poisson model
44%56%
Head to head
15%85%
Goals
25%75%
Overall
37%63%
Form, last 5 games
53%60%
Goals scored, last 5
8.010.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.06.0
Goal forecast: Şamaxı FK Under 3.5, Neftchi Baku Under 3.5Model verdict: Win or draw