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Segunda División · Relegation Group - 10
Real San Joaquín
Provincial Ovalle

Real San Joaquín vs Provincial Ovalle Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
Real San JoaquínDrawProvincial Ovalle
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes
56%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Real San Joaquín or draw.
  • Recent form: Real San Joaquín LDLLW, Provincial Ovalle DWWLL (oldest to newest).
  • Real San Joaquín score 1.3 a game this season; Provincial Ovalle score 0.9.

Match preview

Real San Joaquín host Provincial Ovalle in the Segunda División (Relegation Group - 10) on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

This season Real San Joaquín score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals a game; Provincial Ovalle score 0.9 and concede 1.8.

In their last 5 meetings, Real San Joaquín won 3, Provincial Ovalle won 0 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Real San Joaquín vs Provincial Ovalle?

Our model gives Real San Joaquín 45%, the draw 45% and Provincial Ovalle 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Real San Joaquín 2 - 1 Provincial Ovalle. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Real San Joaquín vs Provincial Ovalle?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 19:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Real San JoaquínProvincial Ovalle
Goals scored
1.30.9
Goals conceded
1.61.8
Clean sheets
16%16%

Model comparison

Percent
Real San JoaquínProvincial Ovalle
Form
36%64%
Attack
50%50%
Defence
44%56%
Poisson model
46%54%
Head to head
85%15%
Goals
73%27%
Overall
56%44%
Form, last 5 games
27%47%
Goals scored, last 5
5.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
10.08.0
Goal forecast: Real San Joaquín Under 2.5, Provincial Ovalle Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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