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UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3
Real Madrid
RB Leipzig
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium · Referee: Istvan Kovacs

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Locked, VIP
Odds1.22
61%
Confidence · Fair
Real MadridDrawRB Leipzig
Over/Under 2.5
VIP
79%
BTTS
VIP
63%
Correct score
VIP
7%
HT/FT
VIP
51%
Double chance
VIP
91%
Avg goals
4.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Winner : Real Madrid and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Real Madrid WW, RB Leipzig LW (oldest to newest).
  • Real Madrid score 3.0 a game this season; RB Leipzig score 1.0.

Match preview

Real Madrid host RB Leipzig in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 3) on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium.

This season Real Madrid score 2.6 and concede 1.0 goals a game; RB Leipzig score 6.0 and concede 0.0.

In their last 4 meetings, Real Madrid won 2, RB Leipzig won 1 and 1 ended level.

Quick answers

Who will win Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?

Our model gives Real Madrid 61%, the draw 29% and RB Leipzig 9%.

When is Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Real MadridRB Leipzig
Goals scored
2.66.0
Goals conceded
1.00.0
Clean sheets
22%100%

Model comparison

Percent
Real MadridRB Leipzig
Form
67%33%
Attack
75%25%
Defence
50%50%
Poisson model
84%16%
Head to head
64%36%
Goals
60%40%
Overall
67%33%
Form, last 5 games
100%50%
Goals scored, last 5
6.02.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.04.0
Goal forecast: Real Madrid Under 4.5, RB Leipzig Under 1.5