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Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 8
Qarabag
3 - 3Full time
Neftchi Baku
Tofiq Bahramov Stadium

Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.18
83%
Confidence · High
QarabagDrawNeftchi Baku
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
Yes
58%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
30%
Double chance
1X
83%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Qarabag or draw.
  • Recent form: Qarabag WWDWW, Neftchi Baku LWWWD (oldest to newest).
  • Qarabag score 1.8 a game this season; Neftchi Baku score 2.6.

Match preview

Qarabag host Neftchi Baku in the Premyer Liqa (Regular Season - 8) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.

This season Qarabag score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Neftchi Baku score 2.6 and concede 1.0.

In their last 5 meetings, Qarabag won 4, Neftchi Baku won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 83% confidence, priced at 1.18.

Quick answers

Who will win Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku?

Our model gives Qarabag 48%, the draw 36% and Neftchi Baku 17%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (83% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Qarabag 1 - 1 Neftchi Baku. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 83% confidence at odds of 1.18.

When is Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 UTC at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 11'Gustavo Klismahn
  2. O. Kashchuk18'
  3. 34'Gustavo Klismahn
  4. 41'L. Tupta
  5. 46'A. Akinyemi ⇄ B. Sambou
  6. 46'L. Tupta ⇄ D. Savic
  7. 52'D. Savic
  8. J. Mouaddib ⇄ R. Cephas64'
  9. Pedro Bicalho ⇄ J. Montiel64'
  10. 68'A. Skribek ⇄ E. Safarov
  11. 74'R. Abbasov ⇄ M. Seck
  12. Z. Sawo ⇄ M. Qurbanly76'
  13. C. Makreckis ⇄ S. Lobato76'
  14. 78'E. Safarov
  15. 82'Gustavo Klismahn ⇄ I. Mathew
  16. R. Cephas89'
  17. 90+4'
  18. Kady Borges90+5'
  19. 90+6'Igor Ribeiro