Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku Prediction, Odds & Tips
Our Prediction
- Model advice: Double chance : Qarabag or draw.
- Recent form: Qarabag WWDWW, Neftchi Baku LWWWD (oldest to newest).
- Qarabag score 1.8 a game this season; Neftchi Baku score 2.6.
Match preview
Qarabag host Neftchi Baku in the Premyer Liqa (Regular Season - 8) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.
This season Qarabag score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Neftchi Baku score 2.6 and concede 1.0.
In their last 5 meetings, Qarabag won 4, Neftchi Baku won 1 and 0 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 83% confidence, priced at 1.18.
Quick answers
Who will win Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku?
Our model gives Qarabag 48%, the draw 36% and Neftchi Baku 17%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (83% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Qarabag 1 - 1 Neftchi Baku. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 83% confidence at odds of 1.18.
When is Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku?
Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 UTC at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 11'
- 18'
- 34'
- 41'
- 46'
- 46'
- 52'
- 64'
- 64'
- 68'
- 74'
- 76'
- 76'
- 78'
- 82'
- 89'
- 90+4'
- 90+5'
- 90+6'
Key stats
Model comparison
Qarabag · last 0
No matches.
Neftchi Baku · last 0
No matches.
Head to head
Best available odds
Premyer Liqa table
Line-ups
Line-ups are usually confirmed 1 hour before kick-off.