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EFL Trophy · Group North - 4
Port Vale
Manchester City U21
Vale Park

Port Vale vs Manchester City U21 Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.18
83%
Confidence · High
Port ValeDrawManchester City U21
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS
Yes
66%
Correct score
2-1
7%
HT/FT
1/1
33%
Double chance
1X
83%
Avg goals
4.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Port Vale or draw and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Port Vale LW, Manchester City U21 WL (oldest to newest).
  • Port Vale score 1.5 a game this season; Manchester City U21 score 3.5.

Match preview

Port Vale host Manchester City U21 in the EFL Trophy (Group North - 4) on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at Vale Park.

Port Vale come into the game with a form of LDW (newest first; 1 win in their last 3).

This season Port Vale score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Manchester City U21 score 3.5 and concede 3.0.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 83% confidence, priced at 1.18.

Quick answers

Who will win Port Vale vs Manchester City U21?

Our model gives Port Vale 50%, the draw 34% and Manchester City U21 17%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (83% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 66% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 71% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Port Vale 2 - 1 Manchester City U21. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 83% confidence at odds of 1.18.

When is Port Vale vs Manchester City U21?

Kick-off is Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Vale Park. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Port ValeManchester City U21
Goals scored
1.53.5
Goals conceded
1.03.0
Clean sheets
50%0%

Model comparison

Percent
Port ValeManchester City U21
Form
50%50%
Attack
30%70%
Defence
75%25%
Poisson model
100%0%
Overall
52%48%
Form, last 5 games
50%50%
Goals scored, last 5
3.07.0
Goals conceded, last 5
2.06.0
Goal forecast: Port Vale Under 2.5, Manchester City U21 Under 4.5Model verdict: Win or draw