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Primera B · Clausura - Quadrangular - 1
Popayan
Union Magdalena

Popayan vs Union Magdalena Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds–
82%
Confidence · High
PopayanDrawUnion Magdalena
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
No
52%
Correct score
1-1
12%
HT/FT
1/1
20%
Double chance
X2
82%
Avg goals
2.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Union Magdalena.
  • Recent form: Popayan DLLLW, Union Magdalena DDDWW (oldest to newest).
  • Popayan score 1.2 a game this season; Union Magdalena score 1.4.

Match preview

Popayan host Union Magdalena in the Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular - 1) on Thursday, 29 October 2026.

Popayan come into the game with a form of WLLL (newest first; 1 win in their last 4), while Union Magdalena have WWD (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3).

This season Popayan score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Union Magdalena score 1.4 and concede 0.9.

In their last 5 meetings, Popayan won 1, Union Magdalena won 2 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 82% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Popayan vs Union Magdalena?

Our model gives Popayan 18%, the draw 39% and Union Magdalena 43%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (82% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 52% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Popayan 1 - 1 Union Magdalena. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 82% confidence.

When is Popayan vs Union Magdalena?

Kick-off is Thursday, 29 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
PopayanUnion Magdalena
Goals scored
1.21.4
Goals conceded
1.30.9
Clean sheets
17%31%

Model comparison

Percent
PopayanUnion Magdalena
Form
31%69%
Attack
33%67%
Defence
36%64%
Poisson model
39%61%
Head to head
38%62%
Goals
38%63%
Overall
36%64%
Form, last 5 games
27%60%
Goals scored, last 5
3.06.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.04.0
Goal forecast: Popayan Under 1.5, Union Magdalena Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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