Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC Prediction, Odds & Tips
Draw or Away (X2)Odds1.05
Ponte PretaDrawFortaleza EC
9%31%60%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : draw or Fortaleza EC.
- Recent form: Ponte Preta LLLLD, Fortaleza EC DDWDW (oldest to newest).
- Ponte Preta score 0.6 a game this season; Fortaleza EC score 1.2.
Match preview
Ponte Preta host Fortaleza EC in the Serie B (Regular Season - 35) on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Moisés Lucarelli.
This season Ponte Preta score 0.6 and concede 2.2 goals a game; Fortaleza EC score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
In their last 3 meetings, Ponte Preta won 1, Fortaleza EC won 1 and 1 ended level.
Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 91% confidence, priced at 1.05.
Quick answers
Who will win Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?
Our model gives Ponte Preta 9%, the draw 31% and Fortaleza EC 60%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (91% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 61% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Ponte Preta 0 - 2 Fortaleza EC. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 91% confidence at odds of 1.05.
When is Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?
Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 21:30 UTC at Moisés Lucarelli. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- Gustavo Telles11'
- 22'Chico da CostaPenalty confirmedVAR
- Danilo Barcelos24'
- 25'MaíltonPenalty●
- 32'Maílton
- ●Gustavo Felipe AlmeidaAssist: Danilo Barcelos44'
- ●Guilherme Brandão AzevedoAssist: Gustavo Telles45+2'
- Felipe Di Mauro45+4'
- 57'Vitor Ferreira ⇄ Paulo Baya⇄
- 57'Pedro Henrique ⇄ Welliton Silva de Azevedo Matheus⇄
- ⇄Rodrigo Souza ⇄ Denis60'
- 65'Rodrigo Henrique Santos De SouzaAssist: Paulo Baya●
- 65'Maurício Mucuri ⇄ Lucca Prior Pimenta⇄
- ⇄Danilo ⇄ LUCAS CUNHA72'
- ⇄David da Hora ⇄ Emanuell Silva Ferreira72'
- ⇄Karl Cachoeira Della Vedova Júnior ⇄ Juan Rodrigues Leopoldino72'
- Vinicius Ferrari Andreoli76'
- 86'ronald falkoski ⇄ Nathan Fogaça⇄
- ⇄Gustavo Telles ⇄ Diego Monteiro Leao90+1'
Match stats
Ponte PretaFortaleza EC
Expected goals (xG)
0.891.94
Key stats
Per game, this seasonPonte PretaFortaleza EC
Model comparison
PercentPonte PretaFortaleza EC
Goals scored, last 5
2.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
12.05.0
Goal forecast: Ponte Preta Under 1.5, Fortaleza EC Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Ponte Preta · last 2
0W 1D 1L16 OctHAtletico Goianiense1-1D
12 OctANovorizontino5-1L
Fortaleza EC · last 2
1W 1D 0L16 OctASport Recife0-2W
12 OctHCRB2-2D
Head to head
Last 3Jul 2026Fortaleza EC2-0Ponte Preta
Oct 2018Fortaleza EC1-1Ponte Preta
Jul 2018Ponte Preta2-0Fortaleza EC
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X26.00
1/221.00
X/23.75
X/X8.00
1/123.00
X/121.00
2/151.00
2/X21.00
2/21.73
Correct score
0-25.50
0-16.50
0-37.00
1-210.00
1-111.00
0-411.00
0-012.00
1-312.00
1-419.00
0-521.00
1-023.00
2-229.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedPonte Preta 4-2-3-1
30Vinicius
32Felipe Di Mauro
44Gustavo Almeida
15Gabriel Caran
14Danilo Barcelos
5Rodrigo Souza
8Karl
35Gustavo Lopes
18David da Hora
19Danilo
9Brandão
Fortaleza EC 4-2-3-1
1João Ricardo
22Maílton
23Neris
15Bartolomeu Jacinto Quissanga
13Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues
5Pierre
8Ronald
11Vitinho
16Pedro Henrique
75Rodriguinho
91Francisco da Costa
