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1st Division · Regular Season - 8
Pogradeci
Oriku

Pogradeci vs Oriku Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds–
45%
Confidence · Fair
PogradeciDrawOriku
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No
64%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Pogradeci.
  • Recent form: Pogradeci WDWDD, Oriku LLLLD (oldest to newest).
  • Pogradeci score 1.6 a game this season; Oriku score 0.4.

Match preview

Pogradeci host Oriku in the 1st Division (Regular Season - 8) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.

This season Pogradeci score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals a game; Oriku score 0.4 and concede 2.3.

In their last 5 meetings, Pogradeci won 2, Oriku won 2 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 45% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Pogradeci vs Oriku?

Our model gives Pogradeci 45%, the draw 45% and Oriku 10%. Our tip is Home Win (45% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 64% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 54% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Pogradeci 2 - 1 Oriku. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Pogradeci vs Oriku?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 12:30 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
PogradeciOriku
Goals scored
1.60.4
Goals conceded
0.72.3
Clean sheets
57%0%

Model comparison

Percent
PogradeciOriku
Form
90%10%
Attack
82%18%
Defence
76%24%
Poisson model
90%10%
Head to head
50%50%
Goals
67%33%
Overall
76%24%
Form, last 5 games
60%7%
Goals scored, last 5
9.02.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.013.0
Goal forecast: Pogradeci Under 3.5, Oriku Under 1.5

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