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Liga de Expansión MX · Apertura - 13
Piratas
3 - 0Full time
Tepatitlán
Referee: E. A. Ramirez Gutierrez

Piratas vs Tepatitlán Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds1.20
61%
Confidence · Fair
PiratasDrawTepatitlán
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
Yes
56%
Correct score
3-0
9%
HT/FT
1/1
52%
Double chance
1X
91%
Avg goals
3.1
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Winner : Piratas and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Piratas DWLWL, Tepatitlán LLWDL (oldest to newest).
  • Piratas score 1.5 a game this season; Tepatitlán score 0.8.

Match preview

Piratas host Tepatitlán in the Liga de Expansión MX (Apertura - 13) on Sunday, 18 October 2026.

This season Piratas score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Tepatitlán score 0.8 and concede 2.8.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 61% confidence, priced at 1.20.

Quick answers

Who will win Piratas vs Tepatitlán?

Our model gives Piratas 61%, the draw 30% and Tepatitlán 9%. Our tip is Home Win (61% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 72% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Piratas 3 - 0 Tepatitlán. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 91% confidence at odds of 1.02.

When is Piratas vs Tepatitlán?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 01:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 21'L. Egurrola
  2. 33'J. Sanchez
  3. U. GarciaAssist: G. Lopez36'
  4. 45+1'G. Baez
  5. 55'J. Godinez ⇄ F. Sanguinetti
  6. 55'L. Egurrola ⇄ G. Olvera
  7. 57'A. Moreno
  8. 65'J. Cruz
  9. C. FernandezAssist: B. Figueroa66'
  10. 68'J. Cruz ⇄ H. Avila
  11. G. Lopez ⇄ I. Doumbouya77'
  12. J. Gamboa ⇄ E. Ochoa81'
  13. B. Figueroa ⇄ J. Clemente81'
  14. C. Fernandez ⇄ O. Soto87'
  15. D. Lajud Martinez ⇄ F. Garcia87'
  16. 90+1'D. Villalpando ⇄ F. Modica
  17. 90+2'A. Tamay ⇄ T. Arevalo
  18. I. DoumbouyaPenalty90+8'