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USL Championship · Group Stage
Phoenix Rising
3 - 3Full time
Lexington
Wild Horse Pass Stadium · Referee: N. Bensalah

Phoenix Rising vs Lexington Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.60
73%
Confidence · Good
Phoenix RisingDrawLexington
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS
Yes
59%
Correct score
1-1
9%
HT/FT
1/1
23%
Double chance
X2
73%
Avg goals
3.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lexington and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Phoenix Rising LLLWW, Lexington WWWDW (oldest to newest).
  • Phoenix Rising score 1.4 a game this season; Lexington score 1.9.

Match preview

Phoenix Rising host Lexington in the USL Championship (Group Stage) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Wild Horse Pass Stadium.

This season Phoenix Rising score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals a game; Lexington score 1.9 and concede 1.2.

In their last 3 meetings, Phoenix Rising won 0, Lexington won 3 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 73% confidence, priced at 1.60.

Quick answers

Who will win Phoenix Rising vs Lexington?

Our model gives Phoenix Rising 27%, the draw 35% and Lexington 39%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (73% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 58% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Phoenix Rising 1 - 1 Lexington. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 73% confidence at odds of 1.60.

When is Phoenix Rising vs Lexington?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 02:00 UTC at Wild Horse Pass Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. I. SackoAssist: C. Smith10'
  2. G. StudenhofftAssist: I. Sacko29'
  3. 45+1'P. GoodrumAssist: X. Zengue
  4. 46'Nick Firmino ⇄ B. P. Rodrigues
  5. P. GoodrumOwn goal53'
  6. 60'M. Fry ⇄ N. Okello
  7. G. Studenhofft ⇄ D. Badji62'
  8. 65'B. P. RodriguesAssist: K. Burks
  9. J. Moursou70'
  10. L. Biasi74'
  11. A. Essengue75'
  12. T. Schmitt ⇄ D. Flores76'
  13. 77'A. Molloy
  14. 78'M. Epps ⇄ P. Seagrist
  15. L. Biasi ⇄ J. Torres79'
  16. C. Smith ⇄ D. Rivera80'
  17. 83'J. Brown ⇄ M. Muir
  18. P. Mar Boye84'
  19. 88'B. P. Rodrigues
  20. 89'N. Okello