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Liga 1 · Regular Season - 7
Persebaya Surabaya
Persepam Madura Utd
Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium

Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.10
87%
Confidence · High
Persebaya SurabayaDrawPersepam Madura Utd
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
No
51%
Correct score
2-0
9%
HT/FT
1/1
38%
Double chance
1X
87%
Avg goals
2.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Persebaya Surabaya or draw.
  • Recent form: Persebaya Surabaya WDWDL, Persepam Madura Utd WWLDW (oldest to newest).
  • Persebaya Surabaya score 1.0 a game this season; Persepam Madura Utd score 1.8.

Match preview

Persebaya Surabaya host Persepam Madura Utd in the Liga 1 (Regular Season - 7) on Monday, 26 October 2026 at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium.

This season Persebaya Surabaya score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals a game; Persepam Madura Utd score 1.8 and concede 1.2.

In their last 5 meetings, Persebaya Surabaya won 3, Persepam Madura Utd won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 87% confidence, priced at 1.10.

Quick answers

Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd?

Our model gives Persebaya Surabaya 54%, the draw 33% and Persepam Madura Utd 13%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (87% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 51% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 60% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Persebaya Surabaya 2 - 0 Persepam Madura Utd. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 87% confidence at odds of 1.10.

When is Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd?

Kick-off is Monday, 26 October 2026, 12:00 UTC at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Persebaya SurabayaPersepam Madura Utd
Goals scored
1.01.8
Goals conceded
0.81.2
Clean sheets
33%33%

Model comparison

Percent
Persebaya SurabayaPersepam Madura Utd
Form
44%56%
Attack
36%64%
Defence
64%36%
Poisson model
46%54%
Head to head
71%29%
Goals
63%38%
Overall
54%46%
Form, last 5 games
53%67%
Goals scored, last 5
5.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.07.0
Goal forecast: Persebaya Surabaya Under 2.5, Persepam Madura Utd Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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