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Taça de Portugal · Round of 64
Penafiel
0 - 1Full time
Leça
Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril

Penafiel vs Leça Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds2.20
68%
Confidence · Good
PenafielDrawLeça
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
Yes
51%
Correct score
1-0
10%
HT/FT
1/1
33%
Double chance
X2
68%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Leça.
  • Recent form: Penafiel W, Leça W (oldest to newest).
  • Penafiel score 2.0 a game this season; Leça score 2.0.

Match preview

Penafiel host Leça in the Taça de Portugal (Round of 64) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril.

This season Penafiel score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Leça score 1.5 and concede 1.3.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 68% confidence, priced at 2.20.

Quick answers

Who will win Penafiel vs Leça?

Our model gives Penafiel 32%, the draw 34% and Leça 34%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (68% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 51% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 50% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Penafiel 1 - 0 Leça. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 68% confidence at odds of 2.20.

When is Penafiel vs Leça?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 28'
  2. 39'David Rebelo
  3. 73'
  4. 86'
  5. 90+1'