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UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3
Paris Saint Germain
4 - 2Full time
Barcelona
Parc des Princes · Referee: Michael Oliver

Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.53
75%
Confidence · Good
Paris Saint GermainDrawBarcelona
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS
Yes
77%
Correct score
2-2
7%
HT/FT
2/2
24%
Double chance
1X
75%
Avg goals
6.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw and +2.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Paris Saint Germain WW, Barcelona WW (oldest to newest).
  • Paris Saint Germain score 5.0 a game this season; Barcelona score 4.5.

Match preview

Paris Saint Germain host Barcelona in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 3) on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at Parc des Princes.

This season Paris Saint Germain score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Barcelona score 4.3 and concede 1.0.

In their last 5 meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 3, Barcelona won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 75% confidence, priced at 1.53.

Quick answers

Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona?

Our model gives Paris Saint Germain 42%, the draw 33% and Barcelona 25%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (75% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 77% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 79% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Paris Saint Germain 2 - 2 Barcelona. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 75% confidence at odds of 1.53.

When is Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona?

Kick-off is Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Parc des Princes. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 17'João Cancelo
  2. Ousmane Dembélé ⇄ Ferrán Torres20'
  3. 27'Daniel Olmo Carvajal ⇄ Fermín López
  4. Désiré DoueAssist: João Neves38'
  5. 55'Xavi EspartAssist: Fermín López
  6. Marcos Aoás Corrêa ⇄ Ilya Zabarnyi59'
  7. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ⇄ Maghnes Akliouche59'
  8. 60'Raphael Dias Belloli ⇄ Karim Adeyemi
  9. 60'Pedri ⇄ Pablo Martín Páez Gavira
  10. 60'Marc Bernal ⇄ Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante
  11. Lucas HernándezAssist: Désiré Doue72'
  12. 74'Xavi Espart ⇄ Alejandro Balde
  13. Lucas Hernández ⇄ Warren Zaire-Emery78'
  14. Désiré Doue ⇄ Senny Mayulu78'
  15. 79'Lamine Yamal
  16. Vitinha81'
  17. Fabián RuizAssist: Achraf Hakimi86'

Match stats

Paris Saint GermainBarcelona
Possession
47%53%
Expected goals (xG)
3.742.25
Shots
2218
Shots on target
145
Corners
23
Fouls
1110
Offsides
21
Yellow cards
01
Red cards
00
Saves
310
Passes
477539